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a band of cloud and rain lying south-west to north-east across the country, with the most persistent rain for hills in north-west England and north-west Wales. South-east of this band, conditions are generally fine, warm or very warm, with variable cloud and sunny spells. Mainland Scotland will see

was observed to occur for this sub-group of forecasts is then plotted against the vertical axis. For perfect reliability the forecast probability and the frequency of occurrence should be equal, and the plotted points should lie on the diagonal (solid line in the figure). Thus, for example, when

) took place in a low lying area on the Western Front from 31 July to 10 November 1917. The end of July to the end of August was one of the wettest periods of weather for 75 years. August was an exceptionally wet month; in Ypres 127mm of rain, around 60mm more than average, fell during the 31 days

in learning and development design. With a background in both social and climate science Rebecca’s research interests lie in multidisciplinary approaches - primarily pulling through climate science alongside socio-economic analysis to better understand climate risk. She also has a keen interest in improving

would lead to more settled conditions and sunny spells, and there are other outcomes that lie between the two illustrated here. This complex jet stream interaction which drives these potential different directions the UK weather could take, will mostly conclude by late Tuesday, which will lead to us

. The 15th was a quiet day with a widespread frost, especially over snow cover in the north with Ravensworth (North Yorkshire) falling to -11.8 °C, and Copley (Durham) reported 20 cm of lying snow. A band of rain spread from the west overnight into the 16th, turning to snow in many eastern areas

, but wintry showers at first over north-eastern coasts became more widespread generally with rain, sleet, snow and hail, Buxton (Derbyshire) recording 4 cm of lying snow. It was coldest in eastern areas to start the 12th; cloudy at first in southern counties with some sleet and snow at first

extremes Persistently large numbers of low-income people in markets affected by impacted production areas Continued or exacerbated income inequality, slow economic growth, ineffective food distribution systems Representative Key Risks Risk to people and livelihoods in low-lying coastal areas Risk to urban

a band of cloud and rain lying south-west to north-east across the country, with the most persistent rain for hills in north-west England and north-west Wales. South-east of this band, conditions are generally fine, warm or very warm, with variable cloud and sunny spells. Mainland Scotland will see

will be falling on already very wet ground and where there is still lying snow in the northwest of England and parts of Scotland, snow melt will exacerbate the risk of flooding. It is important to check for flood warnings in your area issued by your local environment agency.”   ⚠️ Yellow rain warnings