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• Seasonal and climate models

  in these reports were: Second Assessment Report (1995): HadCM2 Third Assessment Report (2001): HadCM3 Fourth Assessment Report (2007): HadGEM1 Fifth Assessment Report (2013): HadGEM2-ES, HadCM3 More information on our seasonal and climate models

• La Niña slows atmospheric CO₂ rise: but not for long

  vegetation to soak up more carbon-dioxide than usual for the third year running. So, while CO₂ levels in the atmosphere continue to increase due to emissions from fossil fuel burning and deforestation, this increase is smaller than it would have been without the extra carbon uptake by remaining forests

• Wintry, unsettled conditions continue

  by the persistent wet weather. “We have seen our third weekend of exceptional river levels and stormy weather, continuing into this week; with the effects of climate change, we need to prepare for more frequent periods of extreme weather like this. People need to be aware of their flood risk, sign up

• wiser0025_kenya-red-cross-society_meeting-notes_1216.pdf

  two thirds of Kenya’s counties are classified as ASALs, droughts are usually the major concern. The KMD OND forecast forms a key input to the September planning meeting. However the MAM forecast is generally not available in time for the February planning. Better synchronisation or a monthly

• transform-project-summary-final.pdf

  events (the first resilience dividend) and an increase in household incomes (the third resilience dividend), where people engaged in fishing and related activities have been able to better plan their economic activities. Further exploration and quantification of these resilience dividends is required

• wiser0186_sub_national_cx_cafe231019_tanzania.pdf

  from the Tanzania Meteorological Authority (TMA) on the seasonal forecast for the October to December (OND) rainfall season, impacts on agriculture and other sectors and advisories. A third presentation was Fredrick Kathulanda of the UKWAMA project on beekeeping and how it is impacted by the climate

• seasonal-assessment---summer24.pdf

  stronger. June started off cooler than average, with temperatures around 2°C below the long-term average in most areas, and although there was a warm spell in the third week of the month this was short-lived. Scattered showers brought some rain in June, but overall accumulations were below average

• uk_monthly_climate_summary_summer_2019.pdf

  Summer 2019 The following represents a provisional assessment of the weather experienced across the UK during Summer 2019 (June, July, August) and how it compares with the 1981 to 2010 average. The first two-thirds of June was generally very wet in most areas, and cooler than average

• 2025 outlook: in top three warmest years on record

  temperature, giving a long-term average estimate of 1.3°C above the pre-industrial period (1850-1900). Our forecast for 2025 suggests it will likely be the third year in succession that temperatures are expected to have exceeded 1.3°C. Prof Adam Scaife concluded: “The 2023/24 El Niño event has

• Storm names for 2018-19 announced

  action – for example in a recent survey, only one third of respondents said they made changes at home, such as fastening windows, securing loose items outside and just one fifth checking on the safety of family and neighbours. When is a storm named? A storm will be named on the basis of 'medium