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, as well as eastern coastal areas. 3-Month Outlook September to November 2020 - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very Likely Likely Likely Very Likely Climate Outlook Africa: May to February Overview 3 Africa Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: The West African

Above Normal Climate Outlook Africa: July to April Overview 3 Likely Likely Much More Likely Africa Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: 3-Month Outlook November to January - Rainfall Over the last three months, wet or very wet conditions have been observed across parts of West Africa

low cloud in the south-east and mist and fog patches in the far north had burned off. The 17th was again sunny, and warm or very warm, after early mist and low cloud in East Anglia. The 18th was also sunny and warm or very warm, but cloud increased late in the day with patchy rain for parts

Overview 3 Likely Likely Much More Likely Africa Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: Central parts of Africa have often been dry or very dry over the past three months. East Africa has seen wet conditions at times, especially in April, with March and May having normal rainfall. 3

st Century climate change will very likely weaken the AMOC, but a shutdown in the 21 st Century is very unlikely - though still plausible. • Understanding more about AMOC shutdown ‘tipping points’ could enable early warning, giving time to take action. • Recent advances in monitoring and modelling

, with confidence highest across the Caribbean region, and Central Indian Ocean. 3-Month Outlook Aug to Oct 2020 - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very Likely Likely Likely Very Likely Left: Middle East and North Africa Right: Caribbean region Climate Outlook Global: April

, was wet in August and very dry in September. The exception to this was Guyana, which was very dry throughout. Outlook: It is likely to be wetter than normal over the next three months across parts of the Middle East, specifically in Iraq and parts of the Yemen. In Mauritania and Egypt, rainfall

Current Status: Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan were wet or very wet in October and November, with the wetter conditions extending into the far north of Afghanistan during November. Nepal and Bangladesh returned to normal in November after being wet or very wet in September and October. Indonesia remained

: Warmer than normal conditions are likely, or very likely, across most of Asia - increasing the risk of heatwaves and related impacts. Southern parts of Indonesia are likely to have near normal temperatures. 3-Month Outlook August to October - Temperature Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above

in the 1981-2010 climatology. Green and dark green shading represent values above the 80th (Wet) and 90th (Very Wet) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark brown indicate rainfall below the 20th (Dry) and 10th (Very Dry) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. Grey