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• NCIC Monthly Summary

  to edge south-eastwards, with other areas remaining largely dry. A renewed northerly plunge meant a frosty start in some areas on the 25th, but some sunshine for most, albeit with showers clipping far eastern and far western coastal counties for a time. The 26th saw bands of showers from the north

• Amber warning for snow

  established across northern Scotland and perhaps clipping the east coast of northern England at times.   It will be another cold night on Friday, with a clear and frosty start to Saturday for many.   Another area of low pressure arrives into the west through Saturday making uncertain progress east

• NCIC Monthly Summary

  a frosty start in some areas on the 25th, but some sunshine for most, albeit with showers clipping far eastern and far western coastal counties for a time. The 26th saw bands of showers from the north Midlands southward to start the day, these sweeping south-eastwards, coalescing for a time into longer

• UK Climate Projections (UKCP18) guidance and reports

  the following PDF documents: Hadley Centre Technical Note 109: Comparison between climate change projections from the UKCP land scenarios and CMIP6 models (June 2023) UKCP Report: Assessment of drifts and internal variability in UKCP projections (September 2020) UKCP18 technical note: Clipping

• Met Office 10-Day Trend: High pressure in charge with hot weekend on the way

  dry, sunny, and increasingly hot conditions for many. However, the northwest of the UK, particularly western Scotland, has drawn the short straw, with frontal systems occasionally clipping the edge of the high. This brings more cloud and some light rain at times on Thursday and Friday. As we move

• ukcp-probabilistic-extremes-report-september-2020.pdf

  for other UKCP Probabilistic variables. Clipping of the pdfs and cdfs is also performed, to remove extreme values that may be less physically plausible than those within the bulk of the probability distribution. Reduced confidence in such tail values may arise, for example, from enhanced sensitivity

• ukcp-probabilistic-extremes-report-september-2020pdf

  for other UKCP Probabilistic variables. Clipping of the pdfs and cdfs is also performed, to remove extreme values that may be less physically plausible than those within the bulk of the probability distribution. Reduced confidence in such tail values may arise, for example, from enhanced sensitivity

• ukcp18-factsheet-using-rainfall-data-from-ukcp-v2.pdf

  than those within the bulk of the probability distribution. Clipping is applied at 5th and 95th percentiles. • While not a limitation, it is important to note that in summer, 1-day precipitation at 50-year return level remains close to the baseline while other UKCP products show a significant

• Advice on animal health

• Wet and windy weather on the way