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behaviour is influenced by events occurring far from our shores. A key factor in the current transition is the recent evolution of ex-Typhoon Halong in the Pacific. Last Friday, Halong was still a typhoon, but it soon underwent extratropical transition, similar to what happens with hurricanes

] (dispersion modelling) Meteoalarm (European warnings information service) Atmospheric pollution service Advice to Government Hurricane Season Forecasts Crisis Area Modelling International support services (briefing to UK government) Global Guidance Unit Services (GGU) (Global Operational forecast

on the frequency of intense Atlantic hurricanes. Science, 327:454–458, 2010. L Bengtsson, K Hodges, M Esch, N Keenlyside, L Kornblueh, J-J Luo, and T Yamagata. How may tropical cyclones change in a warmer climate? Tellus A, 59(4):539–561, 2007. JN Brown, C Langlais, and AS Gupta. Projected sea surface

storms during the whole Atlantic season (taken from the US National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administartion National Hurricane Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov) over the period 1993-2006. Verification of SST predictions As discussed previously, North Atlantic tropical storm frequencies are correlated

forecast Met Office week ahead forecast: Classic Autumnal weather on the way What do meteorologists do at the Met Office? Met Office Deep Dive: Hurricane Melissa and the UK weather outlook How the Met Office brings life-saving weather intelligence to Kenya Met Office 10-day trend: Unsettled weather

at the Met Office? Met Office Deep Dive: Hurricane Melissa and the UK weather outlook How the Met Office brings life-saving weather intelligence to Kenya Met Office 10-day trend: Unsettled weather continues into November Met Office weekend weather: Showers, wind, and occasional sunny spells About

breakdown What is a Sudden Stratospheric Warming? Weekend weather forecast: Colder, breezier and showery for many Met Office weekend football forecast Met Office week ahead forecast: Classic Autumnal weather on the way What do meteorologists do at the Met Office? Met Office Deep Dive: Hurricane

Office week ahead forecast: Classic Autumnal weather on the way What do meteorologists do at the Met Office? Met Office Deep Dive: Hurricane Melissa and the UK weather outlook How the Met Office brings life-saving weather intelligence to Kenya Met Office 10-day trend: Unsettled weather continues

weekend football forecast Met Office week ahead forecast: Classic Autumnal weather on the way What do meteorologists do at the Met Office? Met Office Deep Dive: Hurricane Melissa and the UK weather outlook How the Met Office brings life-saving weather intelligence to Kenya Met Office 10-day trend

Deep Dive: Hurricane Melissa and the UK weather outlook How the Met Office brings life-saving weather intelligence to Kenya Met Office 10-day trend: Unsettled weather continues into November Met Office weekend weather: Showers, wind, and occasional sunny spells About this blog This is the official blog