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Briefing on Arctic and Antarctic sea ice - June 2019

conditions in the Arctic following a record-warm May, and a very mild winter (albeit less mild than the preceding three winters). Winter 2018-2019 was less mild than the last three winters in the Arctic, but still much warmer than the 1981-2010 average. Evidence from satellite measurements and models

caa_verification_202406-june.pdf

. 4 Count of occasions transmission time target exceeded 00Z 06Z 12Z 18Z 3 2 1 0 Jul 2023 Sep 2023 Nov 2023 Jan 2024 Mar 2024 May 2024 Timeliness of TREND forecasts Objective: To append landing forecasts to selected airport METARs in time for their global dissemination. TRENDs are 2 hour ’landing

News

Warnings for wet and stormy weather for some

A series of Yellow National Severe Weather Warnings are currently in force. Today, although some may experience bright and sunny conditions, showers and some thunderstorms will develop during the afternoon. Warnings are in place across parts of the south and southwest, eastern and central England

Seasonal Climate Outlooks

(ENSO).  However, whilst such forecasts may be able to show what is more or less likely to occur, they acknowledge that other outcomes are possible.  As forecast certainty generally decreases with longer range, the 1 month outlook is more reliable than the 1-3 month outlook, and the 1-3 month outlook

Met Office weather: What’s in store for the next 10 days?

As we approach the end of May and meteorological spring, the UK is set to experience a notable shift in weather patterns.

spells and showers on Monday, with breezy conditions persisting due to tightly packed isobars. Another low-pressure system may bring longer spells of rain from the west, although confidence in its exact path remains low. Despite the unsettled conditions, temperatures will remain relatively mild

ice-sheets.pdf

Version date: Dec 2019 Ice Sheets What is the nature of the threshold? Ice sheets have been found to exist in different equilibrium states, and if they melt beyond a certain threshold, they may collapse into a no-ice state. (1) Different thresholds exist, because there are a range of different

risk-management-of-climate-thresholds-and-feedbacks---3-ice-sheets.pdf

Version date: Dec 2019 Ice Sheets What is the nature of the threshold? Ice sheets have been found to exist in different equilibrium states, and if they melt beyond a certain threshold, they may collapse into a no-ice state. (1) Different thresholds exist, because there are a range of different

PowerPoint Presentation

both the MENA and Caribbean regions 3-Month Outlook May to July - Temperature Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Left: Middle East and North Africa Right: Caribbean region Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Global: January to October Overview 3 MENA, Caribbean

metoffice_sipn_2018_june_arctic.pdf

Met Office September 2018 Arctic Sea Ice Outlook June Report (Using May Data) K.A. Peterson ∗ , C. MacLachlan, E.W. Blockley, and A.A. Scaife Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, UK June 11, 2018 1. Projection Type: Model based estimate. 2. September Monthly Averaged Extent

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