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• Why has it been so dry recently? 

  , sunny and breezy weather can all accelerate the loss of moisture from the ground, vegetation and water bodies.  The result is that rainfall deficits become more noticeable. Gardens, farmland, river catchments and reservoirs can all come under increasing stress, especially when warm conditions

• Our changing weather patterns: a tale of abrupt transitions

  and into continental Europe. This pattern is characteristically described as a block; when the atmosphere gets ‘stuck’ for long periods of time. Paul Davies is the Met Office’s Principal Meteorologist. He said: “Against this backdrop, the tropical Atlantic is very warm. Sea temperatures off

• ukcp18-guidance---how-to-use-joint-probability-plotspdf

  direction, i.e. lower temperature and reduced rainfall (colder and drier) as well as higher temperature and increased rainfall (warmer and wetter) are more likely than the two variables changing in opposite directions. • The position of the individual simulations and the shaded area, displaced up

• ukcp18-guidance---how-to-use-joint-probability-plots.pdf

  direction, i.e. lower temperature and reduced rainfall (colder and drier) as well as higher temperature and increased rainfall (warmer and wetter) are more likely than the two variables changing in opposite directions. • The position of the individual simulations and the shaded area, displaced up

• Temporary breaching of 1.5C in next five years?

  indicated that there was a 40% chance of the temperature temporarily exceeding 1.5°C between 2021-2025.  Paris Agreement Dr Leon Hermanson, of the Met Office, led today’s report. He said: “Our latest climate predictions show that continued global temperature rise will continue, with an even chance

• World’s oceans capturing unrelenting climate change

  on this year’s report he said: “By measuring Earth’s surface temperature since 1850 we know that 2021 was one of the six hottest years since records began. However, natural variations including planetary cycles – such as the temporary cooling of the tropical Pacific during the recent La Niña event – can

• Deep Dive: Heatwaves, dry ground and warming seas

  Non-Executive Directors News & media Media centre Campaigns Contact the Press Office Weather & climate news Corporate news Official news blog Contact us Send us your feedback Ways to contact us How to find our offices Information for visitors Deep Dive: Heatwaves, dry ground and warming seas Author

• Long-lasting UK marine heatwave likely to reach extreme levels next week

  and Lead Advisor (Climate Change) at CEFAS. He said: “Marine heatwaves can have significant impacts on ecosystems and wildlife. Prolonged periods of unusually warm sea temperatures can lead to shifts in fish populations, damage important habitats such as seagrass and kelp, and increase the likelihood

• Deep Dive: UK heat and tropical cyclones

  Office Wed 8 Apr 2026 As the UK continues to experience a week of higher-than-average temperatures, early April is currently delivering a spell of notably warm weather for many. Temperatures are well above average, sunshine has been widespread, and for some areas this period has a distinctly late‑spring

• Another low-pressure area to bring wind and rain

  of the year, highlighting coastal areas for impacts. A warning of heavy rain has also been issued for parts of southern and eastern Scotland. Frank Saunders is a Met Office Chief meteorologist. He said: “This system is in its deepening phase at present and will bring the strongest gusts to areas