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  • Observed and forecast tracks: northern hemisphere 2024

    (11W) 21 August - 01 September 935 mb, 115/95 knots Short lead time track forecast errors were near to the recent mean, but longer lead time errors were very large due to a fast bias. At these times the slow down and decay of the storm over Japan were not well predicted. Yagi (12W) 01-08 September 915

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: ​ 3-Month Outlook July to September - Rainfall Over the last three months, rainfall has been near-normal across most of West and Central Africa. Many parts of Eastern Africa were wet or very wet in March in April before becoming dry in May. During

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    parts of southern Africa where cool or cold conditions have been observed. Outlook: For the next three months, warmer than normal conditions are likely across most of Africa, and very likely in tropical regions and the western Sahel. The exception is in the far south, where cooler than normal

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    Africa experienced normal or dry conditions during June and August. In July and August, the West Africa Monsoon was more active than normal; many parts of West Africa experienced Wet or Very Wet conditions. Central Africa was mainly near-normal, except for July where Very Wet conditions were observed

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    months, much of the continent is likely, to very likely, to be warmer than normal during this period. The exceptions to this are likely to be parts of west and southern Africa. 3-Month Outlook November to January - Temperature Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Climate Outlook Africa

  • Microsoft Word - 2019_003_storm_freya.docx

    very strong winds across Scotland. Impacts Strong winds caused disruption on the rail network across Wales and the Midlands, and a number of fallen trees blocked some routes for motorists. Some snow across higher levels in the north causing hazardous driving conditions. A section of the M4 was closed

  • Warm, sunny with some thunderstorms this Bank Holiday

    As we move into the Bank Holiday weekend, our latest forecasts show an increased risk of heavy showers and thunderstorms for parts of the UK. It will still be very warm in places, however where we see the greatest risk of cloud an

    It will still be very warm in places. However where we see the greatest risk of cloud and thunderstorms, temperatures won't be as high. National Severe Weather Warnings have been issued from today into Sunday, where heavy showers and thunderstorms could bring localised flooding and damage

  • Commuters face icy return to work

    to pay particular attention to the potential for ice and frost to affect journeys tomorrow morning. Although most gritted surfaces will stay ice-free, there is a particular for risk that pavements and untreated roads, especially minor ones, could be very slippery. “A very cold night is in store for many

  • Heatwave conditions across much of the UK

    Ireland and 31 or even 32°C over parts of Scotland, away from eastern coasts. “Conversely, eastern parts of England will be a little cooler tomorrow than today, although still very warm or hot again away from eastern coastal counties where an onshore breeze will limit temperatures closer to high

  • africa-climate-outlook---march-2024.pdf

    (SSTs) across the equatorial Pacific remain indicative on an ongoing El Niño event. Now past its peak, the current El Niño event is likely to weaken further with a transition to ENSOneutral very likely (83%) April-June. There is an increasing chance (62%) of a transition to La Niña in June-August. El

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