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of the underlying model distributions. There may be a greater than 10% chance that the real-world response lies outside the 5th to 95th percentile range and this likelihood cannot be accurately quantified. We cannot rule out substantial additional sea level rise associated primarily with dynamic ice discharge

16.3 1.2 67.2 60 185.9 116 Scotland 14.6 1.3 99.9 83 153.3 114 Northern Ireland 15.9 1.4 66.8 67 138.7 102 How do we know when records are broken?  The answer lies in a Met Office dataset that's been quietly mapping our weather history for around the last two centuries. Read: How do we know when weather records are broken?  Read: People spend over two days a year talking about the weather   

of whether it will be a white or not. Wintry showers are expected in the north which could technically make it a white Christmas, as we only need to see a single snowflake falling, but any lying snow will probably be confined to the mountains of Scotland. Elsewhere, showers are likely to fall mostly

larger areas and is harder to avoid. Formation and cloud types The key difference between rain and showers lies in the cloud types and the processes that form them. Rain from weather fronts is produced through mass ascent, where one body of air is lifted by another. As the lifted air cools, water

have increased, the trend at Karachi has also accelerated. Many studies recommended regions where sea level protection measures could be prioritised. The Indus Delta Region (IDR) is such a locality, its mangrove ecosystems and vulnerability to erosion being topics of concern. The low-lying coast

the potential to even reach 30% woodland cover. Chris believes there are benefits to planting trees wherever the opportunity lies. He said: “Planting or preserving large blocks of trees can have obvious benefits for the climate, the environment, people and wildlife. However, single or small groups of trees

IMPACT POTENTIALS • MINOR: Localised flooding affecting roads and low-lying areas; Impact to private properties; Minimal impact to road users and daily activities. • MODERATE: Moderate impacts to the community, transport and infrastructure • MAJOR: Widespread flooding bringing about major impact

. The cold air remains in place, so where snow is lying, temperatures will struggle to rise. Most areas can expect highs of 3 or 4°C, but without the biting winds, it will feel noticeably milder. In the southwest, temperatures could reach 7 or 8°C, offering a brief taste of something less wintry

typically brings settled, dry weather, and while it’s not unusual to see such pressure systems in spring, their persistence this year has been more pronounced than usual. A key reason for this lies in the behaviour of the jet stream, a fast-flowing air current high in the atmosphere that usually

?  The answer lies in a Met Office dataset that's been quietly mapping our weather history  for around the last two centuries.   What’s been behind the weather?   The dominant factor behind this unusual spring has been the persistent high-pressure systems, often originating from the Azores or mainland Europe