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these lies a link to the further details section which includes the risk matrix and a listing of those regions/countries and county authorities lying wholly or partly within the warning area. Email version The majority of emergency responders receive severe weather warnings via email or text message. Figure

parameter, observed trend, or projected change lying in a given range). A statement that an outcome is ‘very likely’ means that the probability of this outcome can range from ≥90% to 100% probability. This implies that all alternative outcomes are ‘very unlikely’ (0-10%). � � UKCP18 includes exploratory

and ice hazards for many in the northern half of the UK, especially the north of Scotland. Shetland was particularly hard-hit with bitter northerly winds and temperatures struggling to rise much above freezing with deep lying snow. On 17 January, -14°C at Dalwhinnie (Invernesshire) was the lowest

we know when weather records are broken? Author: Press Office 23 May 2025 Ever wondered how we know if a summer was really the hottest on record? Or how we know if rainfall patterns are changing across the UK? The answer lies in a Met Office dataset that's been quietly mapping our weather history

individual forecast is referred to as an ensemble member. The reason for this approach lies in the chaotic nature of the atmosphere. Even the smallest changes in observations can lead to significant differences in the forecast. Since it is impossible to observe every detail of the atmosphere’s initial state

growth and compress the sea ice southwards. For example, July 2024 saw a two-wave pattern around Antarctica, with high pressure over the Ross Sea and Indian Ocean sector and low pressure between (Figure 8a). In the Southern Hemisphere, high pressure systems lie to the left following the wind

Introduction At the heart of the Unified Model (UM) lies its dynamical core, that part of the model responsible for solving the equations governing fluid motion on the model’s discrete mesh. Recently two papers have been published, one that details the design of a proposed new dynamical core GungHo

through the early part of the week, with temperatures only gradually recovering as cloud cover increases later in the period. Mist and fog patches are also possible overnight, particularly in low-lying areas. However, these should clear quite readily through the course of the morning, giving way

of the growing season. Sea-level rise Rising sea levels threaten to inundate low-lying agricultural land and salinise freshwater supplies. This is a growing concern for coastal communities and small island states, where food production is already constrained by limited land and resources. Tropical

sécher au soleil. Elle les retourne pour qu’ils sèchent plus vite. Photo: Robert Powell Le projet HIGHWAY en chiffres 5,4 millions de personnes vivent le long des berges et sur les îles du lac Victoria 30% de diminution des décès liés aux conditions météorologiques entre 2019 et 2020 20 stations radio