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eventually happen. Over the course of a whole season, year or decade, however, factors in the global weather system may act to make some outcomes more likely than others. It is because of this we can make a prediction , but we still need to show that a spread of outcomes is possible. To do this, we

After an exceptionally dry season, the Met Office’s latest 10-day trend suggests that change is on the horizon — and it’s bringing a mix of sunshine, showers, and cooler temperatures. As we head into the bank holiday weekend, the forecast remains mixed. The Met Office anticipates a blend of sunny

of the time, allowing only brief settled spells. Temperatures fluctuated either side of average, with some mild spells (especially in southern areas) but also spells with widespread frosts, with the most widespread cold weather coming right at the end of the season. Rainfall has not been far from

- January, bringing dry, sunny conditions and a marked drop in temperature. However, January ended the same way it began, with the arrival of the ninth and tenth named storms of the season, Isha and Jocelyn. February was mild and wet, but without the succession of low-pressure systems that dominated

, the pollen season in the UK isn’t immune to the effects of a changing climate. Climate models suggest an increasing likelihood of warmer, wetter winters and hotter drier summers, which will influence the release of pollen into the atmosphere. A study conducted by the University of Worcester looked at pollen

but cold far in the northwest (2) Note: Very wet in the south, normal elsewhere (3) Note: Wet in parts of the north, normal* elsewhere * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: December to September Current Status 11 Current

neither quite as warm nor quite as wet as the previous autumn 2022. The three months of the autumn saw dramatic contrasts in the weather. Settled weather in early September brought many warm, dry, sunny days with a significant late-season heatwave. 30°C was reached on seven consecutive days (a September

since 2014 and is made of up of five partnership projects, Brazil, India, China, South Africa and DSE Asia. A further presentation will be given to the Board on the work within the programme. The business case was approved. Adam Scaife (Principal Fellow and Head of Long Range Forecasting) presented

to trigger public health warnings. Here we a seeing a 16-fold increase! 14 Working together on UK Climate Projections Projecting future seasons using the Local (2.2km) The Local (2.2km) ensemble suggests: Summer Summers will drier by 16- 46% and winters will be wetter by 16-42%. Winter Projected

mountain range. The first snowfall of the season can be seen to have covered much of the Alps, from the mountain areas of Austria at its eastern end and right across to the south-western end, near the French/Italian border north of Nice. Credits: Image: © Crown copyright, Met Office, Data: NOAA/NASA