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. The Outlook uses 3 categories, linked to previous observed UK conditions, for possible UK temperature, precipitation and wind speed in the coming season: COLD, NEAR AVERAGE and MILD for temperature WET, NEAR AVERAGE and DRY for precipitation. CALM, NEAR AVERAGE and WINDY for wind speed. The NEAR

After an exceptionally dry season, the Met Office’s latest 10-day trend suggests that change is on the horizon — and it’s bringing a mix of sunshine, showers, and cooler temperatures. As we head into the bank holiday weekend, the forecast remains mixed. The Met Office anticipates a blend of sunny

on the pollen forecast, which is now available and provides a look at the pollen amounts and types in the air for the next five days. This February was the warmest on record for England and Wales and winter too has followed this wet and warm pattern. This has an influence on the pollen season ahead

across the Lesser Antilles. (3) Note: Very wet in northwest, else normal * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: October to July Current Status 12 Current Status – British Overseas Territories Current Status: Temperature Current

eventually happen. Over the course of a whole season, year or decade, however, factors in the global weather system may act to make some outcomes more likely than others. It is because of this we can make a prediction , but we still need to show that a spread of outcomes is possible. To do this, we

of the time, allowing only brief settled spells. Temperatures fluctuated either side of average, with some mild spells (especially in southern areas) but also spells with widespread frosts, with the most widespread cold weather coming right at the end of the season. Rainfall has not been far from

Storm Ali - which is the first storm to be named by the Met Office and Met Éireann this season - will bring very strong winds to Northern Ireland, Scotland, northern England and parts of north Wales tomorrow (Wednesday 19 September 2018). An Amber National Severe Weather Warning is in place

of the wet season. Present-day simulations of the RCM ensemble are more similar to each other than those of the driving GCM ensemble which indicates that their climatologies are influenced significantly by the RCM formulation and less so by their driving GCMs. Consistent with this, the spread and magnitudes

- January, bringing dry, sunny conditions and a marked drop in temperature. However, January ended the same way it began, with the arrival of the ninth and tenth named storms of the season, Isha and Jocelyn. February was mild and wet, but without the succession of low-pressure systems that dominated

7.4 Information on early/late season Sahel rains 7.5 Rainfall versus Drought Predictability 8. Summary: Gaps and Potential Opportunities Supported by: Fund Manager: 1. Introduction: Aims and Scope This report is a literature review on the topic of seasonal-decadal prediction of Sahel rainfall