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Characteristic (ROC) Curve. The further the plotted curve lies above the diagonal line the higher the level of skill. Figure 2 below shows the results of the turbulence SIGWX verification. The new SIGWX forecast is indicated by the blue line, orange is the manual SIGWX currently produced by WAFC

September), attention turns to what lies ahead. The latest European model shows precipitation anomalies for the next two weeks, with green shades indicating wetter-than-average conditions. There is no signal for a return to high pressure, another heatwave, or a prolonged dry spell in the near future. READ

on the Atlantic side of the Arctic, and less on the Pacific side (Figure 7b). Figure 7. (a) 2007-2025 linear trend in Arctic sea ice extent for each month of the year, with 1x and 2x standard error intervals indicated. A month for which the zero line lies outside the light shading indicates a chance of <5

of the distribution than in the tails, so we see unimodal (single-peaked) distributions. In these, the relative probabilities for specific outcomes are typically much higher near the 50% cumulative probability level (median) of the distribution, than for outcomes lying either below the 10% cumulative

and cyclones pose severe risks to low-lying and densely populated Bangladesh, whereas heavy rainfall-driven landslides and glacial outbursts threaten mountainous Nepal. Pakistan has experienced severe water scarcity due to variable rainfall and more frequent droughts and suffered massive floods in recent

lies outside these ranges and this likelihood cannot be accurately quantified. In particular, we cannot rule out substantial additional sea level rise associated primarily with dynamic ice discharge from the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (see section 3.2.1). We recommend that decision makers make use

that the real-world response lies outside these ranges and this likelihood cannot be accurately quantified. In particular, we cannot rule out substantial additional sea level rise associated primarily with dynamic ice discharge from the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (see section 3.2.1). We recommend

apply to the weather parameter ‘Runway state’: a. Dry = D b. Damp = Dp c. Wet = W d. Wet & raining = R e. Frosty = F f. Lying snow = S g. Icy = I h. Unknown = blank j) The weather parameters ‘Upper wind direction & Upper wind speed’ show data at 3000ft. Note: The weather parameters ‘Rain amount

radiation, wind speed, relative and specific humidity, sea level pressure, snowfall amount, lying snow amount, daily mean, maximum and minimum temperature, as well as hourly precipitation, via CEDA and the User Interface. Some variables are being processed onto the 5km OSGB grid, which we anticipate

. This roughly coincides with the meridian 9 separating the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal regions in this study, which lie respectively to the east and west of the trough axis. Figure A1.4: Spatial patterns representing the effect of mass changes on the fields associated with the Earth’s Gravity (G