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Creating a five-year window into future climate

Providing annually-updated five-year climate predictions at global and continental scales is the focus of a new international science collaboration co-ordinated by the WMO and led by the UK’s Met Office.

to 1.5 degrees Celsius,” said WMO Secretary-General Petteri Taalas. Dr Doug Smith leads decadal climate prediction research and development at the Met Office Hadley Centre. He said: “This product takes into account natural variations as well as human influences on climate to provide the best possible

wiser0082_ghacof50_eventnotes.pdf

attendance should be a baseline going forward not just a one off. Participants need to influence gender equity when they get back to their institutions - the processes to achieve this are required to ensure that people who attend GHACOF promote inclusivity. Balanced communication of climate

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Impact studies should include high-sensitivity climate models

High-sensitivity climate models should not be excluded when projecting future regional climate impacts because the level of warming measured globally is not always the only good indicator of regional changes, a new study suggests.

the change in the number of drought events and climate sensitivity. This is because the magnitude of global warming is just one of many factors influencing drought and is often not the most important.  “Our results contradict suggestions that models showing higher warming should be excluded from

UK Climate Resilience Programme infographics

The UK Climate Resilience Programme ran from 2019 to 2023. As part of our role in co-leading the programme, we produced various infographics to help communicate its outputs.

Programme overview and legacy The infographics below show the programme's strategic themes and how it will achieve a lasting legacy.  Download the UK Climate Resilience overview infographic (PDF document) Download the UK Climate Resilience legacy infographic (PDF document) From climate hazard

wiser0063-western-impact-article_forecasts-0418.pdf

in planning for activities influenced by climate, such as agriculture, fishing and livestock farming,” explains Ayub Shaka, KMD National Coordinator for the WISER Western project. The ADA project successfully created forecasts and disseminated them to end users. WISER Western then built on ADA’s

Introduction to seasonal forecasting

the next few months. Seasonal forecasts provide information about these long-term averages. Why are seasonal forecasts possible? Conditions at the Earth's surface, in particular slow fluctuations in the surface temperature of the global oceans, can influence patterns in the weather. These influences

With September 2023 breaking global records, where does the UK sit?

, it by no means guarantees that this ranking will be the same by the time we get to the end of the year. The figure will be highly dependent on the regimes that influence the UK’s weather through October, November and December. The UK’s September climate statistics were published earlier this week

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2017: warmest year on record without El Niño

Provisional figures confirm that 2017 was the warmest year on record without the influence of warming from El Niño.

spanning 2015-2016 contributed around 0.2°C to the annual average for 2016, which was about 1.1°C above the long-term average from 1850 to 1900. However, the main contributor to warming over the last 150 years is human influence on climate from increasing greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. 2017 remains

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Driest July in England since 1935

High pressure dominated the UK for much of July, pushing any Atlantic influence, and therefore much of the rain, into the northwest and allowing temperatures to build elsewhere. Overall, the UK saw just 56% (46.3mm) of its average rainfall for July, making it the driest July in over 20 years

Upscaling Approach Infographic-v7

The UKCR climate services upscaling approach This approach includes a series of steps for climate service providers to follow when planning their upscaling. These steps consist of activities, discussion topics, and questionnaires. Further information and a detailed toolkit is available on the Met

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