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recommendations to improve safety forecasts agreed in year 1 of the CSA D2.1 Develop new measures of actual accuracy for probabilistic forecasts D2.2 Investigate ways to pull through the science and information relating to health, including forecasts of UV, pollen & air quality D2.3 Make data up

of background to the video sessions, alongside instructions on how to recreate some of the activities or ideas for extension activities. Every three weeks we will release three videos on topics relating to weather and climate. There will be pauses within these videos for discussion, experiments

CMIP5 models, Kendon et al., 2021). Using the UKCP Local Transient Projections, we are able to build a narrative of changes for different global warming levels, and specifically 2°C and 4°C that directly relate to the framing of risks within the Climate Change Risk Assessment, again with the caveat

of the 11 directions as part of the inversion process. ©Crown Copyright 2013 16 7.3 Results The results here relate to the InTEM inversion for CH 4 as discussed in the previous section for 2014 using all of the 4 UK DECC network stations and the 2 GAUGE stations, Heathfield and Bilsdale. Table 1 shows

, quantities pertaining to the three decomposition terms should be provided. Additional terms relating to MSSS are required as part of Level 3 information. 2.4 Contingency tables. In addition to the derived diagnostic measures, contingency table information provided at grid points for both

and are procured in a transparent and competitive manner. It is also important to show how a project can leverage existing 3 rd party resources at low or no cost to achieve its outcomes. Projects should therefore seek to set out the main input cost drivers within the project, and how they relate

network graphics Secure Aviation Data Information Service (formerly, until 1 August 2016, Satellite Distribution System for Information Relating to Air Navigation) SADIS Operations Group (disbanded 2015, but reference retained for historical context) United Kingdom Met Office United Kingdom

are specifically aligned to the IPCC AR6 WG I sub-continental analysis boxes (Figure A4): Zones 1-3 relate to the Western Southern Africa (WSAF) box, Zones 4-7 relate to the Eastern Southern Africa (ESAF) box and Zone 8 related to the Madagascar (MDG) box, as shown in Figure D4 (Iturbide et al. 2021

-hour window. Uncertainty elements (a) and (b) are classed as model uncertainty as they relate to the ability of the model to correctly model the airflow to the observation point. Uncertainty elements (c) and (d) are classed as observation uncertainty as they relate to the uncertainty

that address the barriers) will entail and outline how this is reflected in the Budget (Section 16). If indirectly, please specify what are the risks relating to GESI barriers in the project, and how these risks will be mitigated to ensure a ‘do no harm’ approach. Please refer to the GESI Guidance