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Saturday will begin with low cloud lingering across central and eastern areas, but this will lift and break through the morning, giving way to increasing amounts of sunshine by the afternoon. Elsewhere, conditions will be mainly sunny throughout the day. Temperatures will be very warm in the west

). Overleaf are a series of plots showing the Gerrity Skill Score in relation to the agreed performance measure for forecast Cloud Base and Visibility at airports in receipt of 9, 24 and 30 hr TAFs. The values obtained range from 0 to 1, where 1 indicates perfect forecasts every time, the value we aspire

warnings UK Storm Centre Seasonal advice Maps & charts Maps & charts UK forecast UK weather map Cloud cover map Precipitation map Lightning map Rainfall map Temperature map Wind map Wind gust map Surface pressure charts All countries Climate Climate Climate explained What is climate change? Causes

). Overleaf are a series of plots showing the Gerrity Skill Score in relation to the agreed performance measure for forecast Cloud Base and Visibility at airports in receipt of 9, 24 and 30 hr TAFs. The values obtained range from 0 to 1, where 1 indicates perfect forecasts every time, the value we aspire

Convection WG Overview Model Issues Timing of convective initiation Spatial structure of convection Methods Robustness Rainfall amounts Elevated Convection Observations Rain (radar + satellite) Profiles (aircraft + sondes) Cloud (radar + satellite) Amounts, distribution, cell statistics etc

England and southern Scotland during the afternoon. There is a chance of heavier showers or thunderstorms developing in Northern Ireland and possibly northern England. Cloud will increase from the south and southwest later in the day, bringing isolated showers, thunderstorms and gusty winds

England and southern Scotland during the afternoon. There is a chance of heavier showers or thunderstorms developing in Northern Ireland and possibly northern England. Cloud will increase from the south and southwest later in the day, bringing isolated showers, thunderstorms and gusty winds

warnings UK Storm Centre Seasonal advice Maps & charts Maps & charts UK forecast UK weather map Cloud cover map Precipitation map Lightning map Rainfall map Temperature map Wind map Wind gust map Surface pressure charts All countries Climate Climate Climate explained What is climate change? Causes

are Arriving Later. Linked to: ● Hemispheric Scale: Changes in Hadley cell seasonality ● Continental Scale: Decline of crucial rain-bearing systems – Tropical Extratropical Cloud Bands • Local Scale land surface: Less evapotranspiration in warmer CO 2 world Talk's Aim: To show how family of Unified Model

Peter currently works on the satellite-based (and ground-based) cloud products that are assimilated into the UK area model, UKV.

Areas of expertise Infrared satellite remote sensing Data assimilation Information content of observations Cloud products Current activities Peter’s work is on the surface-based ‘SurfaceCloud’ and satellite-based ‘GeoCloud’ products that are assimilated into the UKV model. These are both methods