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met-office_infographic_jan-18-snowice.pdf

paths Cancelled a planned activity Salted paths/ drive And did you take any action for anyone else? 80% No 20% Yes Overall how useful would you have said this severe weather warning was? 66% Very useful 29% Fairly useful 2% Not very useful 2% Not at all useful Didn’t know 5% LOW IMPORTANCE HIGH Key: (xxx) = mean performance 3% Left work early Research conducted and infographic designed by djsresearch.co.uk

Towyn Floods 26 February 1990

and east and were often of hail with some thunder in places too. Apart from the far north of Scotland it was a windy night everywhere and gales or severe gales were very widespread. During the day gales affected all areas and gusts in excess of 70 mph were very common. Northern England had some

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Warming up, with another heatwave on the way for some

some cloud and light rain or patchy drizzle at times. It will be breezy near some North Sea coasts. Whilst temperatures are expected to build day on day, becoming widely very warm or hot, they are unlikely to surpass those recorded at the start of the month. This heatwave is expected to be longer

Positive impacts of ensemble forecasts

of the developing storm in different members of the ECMWF ensemble forecast. This indicated a very high confidence that the storm would track over northern Britain during the evening of 31 December. Further analysis also showed a high probability of very strong winds associated with this storm

Dr Yongming Tang

or Technical achievement category for this work.  During this period at JCMM, Yongming also developed a very high resolution and very efficient fog prediction model, and studied the impact of coastal ocean SST on the prediction of sea fog and sea breezes. In 2011 Yongming took a secondment from

What is an ensemble forecast?

, very small errors in its initial state can lead to large errors in the forecast. This means that we can never create a perfect forecast system because we can never observe every detail of the atmosphere's initial state. Tiny errors in the initial state will be amplified, so there is always a limit

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Atlantic tropical cyclones influencing the forecast

will have a dry day with some sunshine.    “There is a risk of potentially very heavy rain for a time on Friday for eastern and north-east England and southern Scotland. Adding in the risk of thunderstorms - which could bring gusty winds and heavy downpours where they form - many can expect

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Amber warning for rain issued

to react to anything that might happen.  “If you encounter any floods be very conscious of not driving through water that is too deep as this could very easily lead to catastrophic damage. Try to assess the depth by looking at the kerb or road signs and, if you decide it’s safe to go through, drive

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Winter to tighten its grip – February 2021

: “Into the weekend snow will continue across much of Scotland, and is likely to increasingly fall to low levels before beginning to move south into northern and eastern England. Strong winds “We are likely to see some very large accumulations across higher parts of Scotland especially, with strong winds leading

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A warm week, getting hot in places.

Parts of central and western Europe are in the middle of a heatwave, with the potential for record breaking heat in France and Spain as temperatures rise into the high-30s and low, perhaps mid 40s Celsius. This very warm air from Europe will be drawn towards the UK, allowing temperatures to rise

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