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  • HadGEM2 family: Met Office climate prediction model

    third of a degree at the equator, giving 360 x 216 grid points in total, and 40 unevenly spaced levels in the vertical (a resolution of 10m near the surface). References: Collins, W.J., N. Bellouin, M. Doutriaux-Boucher, N. Gedney, T. Hinton, C. D. Jones, S. Liddicoat, G. Martin, F. O'Connor, J. Rae

  • More settled weather on the way?

    brings the possibility of some of those showers turning heavy and thundery, possibly with hail. Some of these showers will be slow-moving so that could increase local impacts with rainfall totals reaching 30mm or more in isolated locations.  In the heaviest showers these could be accompanied by hail

  • Unsettled midweek with an evolving weekend forecast

    arriving in the UK.”  “Rainfall totals could also build up through the weekend, with some areas of northwestern UK seeing successive periods of heavy rain. With several outcomes possible at this stage, do keep an eye on our forecasts as the week goes on and the picture evolves.”  You can find

  • Turning colder with a possibility of snow

    in any affected area is unlikely to be anything more than transient and short-lived, but it could lead to small totals and some disruption over a few hours before melting.” The UKHSA has issued a yellow cold-health alert for the health sector covering northern regions of England which runs through

  • Amber warning in force with wet start to the week for some

    , is influencing today’s weather for much of England and parts of Wales. The higher totals are likely within the Amber warning area, where some will see 60-80mm of rain through the day while a few places could see in excess of 120mm. A Yellow rain warning – encompassing most of England and Wales, except

  • A hot weekend in prospect for some

    of Scotland, with western areas likely seeing the highest totals. Further rain or showers are likely to affect some northern and western parts of the UK over the weekend and into early next week.   There is also a chance that isolated thunderstorms develop across parts of England in response to the heat

  • mogreps-uk-ps47-asdi-pdf-updates-2.0.pdf

    lightning_flash_accumulation-PT01H precipitation_accumulation-PT01H This represents the total (cloud-tocloud and cloud-to-ground) lightning flashes per square metre within the previous hour. The method used to generate this is based on the paper Forecasting Lightning Threat Using Cloud- Resolving

  • mogreps-uk-ps47-asdi-pdf-updates-20pdf

    lightning_flash_accumulation-PT01H precipitation_accumulation-PT01H This represents the total (cloud-tocloud and cloud-to-ground) lightning flashes per square metre within the previous hour. The method used to generate this is based on the paper Forecasting Lightning Threat Using Cloud- Resolving

  • mwr_2026_01_for_print.pdf

    . Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Daily rainfall maps - calendar view These maps show daily rainfall for each day of January 2026 as daily totals. The daily rainfall is the total from 0900UTC on the day in question to 0900UTC the following day. Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Monthly atmospheric circulation

  • Microsoft Word - MetO_Atlantic_tropical_storm_forecast_verification_1Nov12.doc

    The 2012 North Atlantic tropical storm season continued the recent trend of above average activity. Out of a total of 19 named storms, 10 became hurricanes (winds >73 mph) and of these one became a major hurricane (winds >110 mph). The combined accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) index — a measure

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