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Office (June-issued) seasonal forecast for 2009 3.1 Observed tropical storm activity During July–November 2009, 9 tropical storms formed (of which 3 became hurricanes) with a total ACE index of 52.4. Thus in terms of ACE index the season was indeed the least active for over a decade, and the second

. By the second half of next week, Hurricane Kirk, which is currently in the Atlantic is introducing some uncertainty to the extended range forecast. Tony Wisson explains the challenges of the current forecast. He said: “Hurricane Kirk is currently in the tropical Atlantic. It is expected to move

. The indication for above-normal activity is consistent with the predicted evolution of ENSO to La Niña conditions by July 2010 and a continuation of the present above-normal sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the tropical North Atlantic into the peak of the hurricane season. The dynamical prediction

, the weather for the remainder of the Olympics was characterised by very hot and dry conditions. Credits:  Image: © Crown copyright, Met Office; Data: EUMETSAT July 2024 - Hurricane Beryl 8 July 2024 Two simultaneous satellite views of Hurricane Beryl were captured at 13:30 UTC on 8th July, shortly

possible by the peak of the hurricane season. The estimates for June–November 2011: • a 4.7% chance of exceeding 19 storms (recorded June–November 2010). • a less than 1% chance of exceeding 27 storms (recorded June–November 2005). © Crown copyright 2011 Tropical Storm Outlook 02 Tropical Storm

, these bringing an Atlantic frontal system toward the UK. This will bring some cloudy, wet and windy conditions to many areas during the course of Monday and Tuesday, with strong winds possible in the north .” Ex-hurricane Ernesto influence from Thursday possible Hurricane Ernesto is currently a category two

(hurricane, tropical storm, sub-tropical storm) that has developed in the Atlantic having been named by the National Hurricane Center in Miami, the name is not changed and is referred to as ‘ex-Tropical Storm Helene’, for example. However, if the weather system qualifies for naming under our own rules

to the east on Monday with further spells of rain moving across the UK from the west. Beyond this, we start to see the influence of Atlantic hurricanes on the UK forecast. Hurricane Lee, which will affect northeast USA and east Canada in the short term, is likely to transition into a regular area of low

systems predicting as most likely neutral to El Niño conditions by the end of the forecast period. Sea-surface-temperatures (SSTs) across the tropical North Atlantic are predicted to be near- to below-normal during the peak of the hurricane season (August–October 2012). The probability of exceeding

Typical autumnal weather Chief Meteorologist Andy Page said: “Until the end of October we are looking at an unsettled spell of typical autumnal weather which will dominate the forecast. Every year we expect the remnants of decaying tropical hurricanes to disrupt conditions when they enter the North