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 is a Principal Fellow and Head of Monthly to Decadal Prediction at the Met Office. He said: “It is striking that the temperature record for 2023 has broken the previous record set in 2016 by so much because the main effect of the current El Niño will come in 2024. Consistent with this, the Met Office’s 2024

perspective, being able to articulate a strong evidenced based rationale for continuing to fund these services will be key. LJ noted that the fixed costs elements within the PWS budget limit the flexibility if the budget comes under pressure. LJ noted that DSIT has government priorities and commitments

flooding on roads, with disruption to numerous rail services due to flooded platforms, stations, or lines. Vehicles were stranded in flood water in Ashington, West Sussex, and a mini-tornado was reported in Worthing causing some minor damage to gardens. Devon and Somerset Fire and Rescue reported

, with showers elsewhere which were heaviest and most frequent over the south-west. The 4th started colder in the north, with early fog in places and a few showers developing later, but with sunshine for many areas, Yeovilton (Somerset) sunniest with 8.1 hours. Rain spread across all parts on the 5th

) were recorded at Warcop (Cumbria) on the 2nd and 17th. A snow depth of 57 cm was recorded at Little Rissington (Gloucestershire) on the 4th. Weather impacts On the 1st, there were numerous requests for military support in Devon and Cornwall, Avon and Somerset, Shropshire, and also Scotland. The A38

°C Bawtry – Hesley Hall (South Yorkshire) 2 September 1906 October 29.9 °C Gravesend (Kent) 1 October 2011 November 21.1 °C Chelmsford (Essex) Clacton (Essex) Cambridge (Cambridgeshire) Mildenhall (Suffolk) 5 November 1938 December 17.7 °C Chivenor (Devon) Penkridge (Staffordshire) 2 December 1985

) and extreme 99 th percentiles (bottom row), respectively. References Abraham, A. (2005) Artificial Neural Networks. Handbook of Measuring System Design; Sydenham, P.H., Thorn, R., Eds.; John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.: Hoboken, NJ, USA. Breiman L. (2001) Random forests. Mach Learn, 45, 5–32. https://doi.org/10.1023

, they come with their own limitations (see Section 9). 1 ECS is an important characteristic of climate models is the amount of warming that can be expected in response to the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere reaching double the level observed in pre-industrial times. However, potential

and gliders. Several airports in audience so runway product shown. Noted all potential layers won’t all come at once but willing to take feedback on priorities. Some weather layers can be over laid but only if scales/timesteps are compatible. Focus is on the UK but global info will come later. Live demo

Autumn on record for Northern Ireland 1 Dec 2021 Storm Arwen now starting to abate 27 Nov 2021 Rare red weather warning issued for Storm Arwen 26 Nov 2021 Storm Arwen named 25 Nov 2021 Windy and cold spell to come 24 Nov 2021 One billion face heat-stress risk from 2°C rise 9 Nov 2021 Ground-breaking