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• PowerPoint Presentation

  at least, more especially for tropical regions. With a couple of notable exceptions (e.g., East Africa) La Niña, very broadly speaking, tends to increase the likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across many land areas of the tropics. More information on typical impacts can be found here https

• PowerPoint Presentation

  -23, with a transition to ENSOneutral (the most likely outcome) during February-April 2023 (57% chance). La Niña will remain the most dominant driver of global weather patterns over the next few months at least, especially for tropical regions. With a couple of notable exceptions (e.g. East Africa

• dfid-philippines-wp2-assessing-current-understanding-of-climate-risks-26-10-2015pdf

  and conflicting methodologies and results. For example, PAGASA, the Programme Nationwide Operational Assessment of Hazards, the Mines and Geosciences Bureau and the Climate Change Commission are all working with flood hazard assessment. Since 2000, at least 10 large projects mapping geohazards

• Met Office daily weather: A changeable start to the week continues

  and there. As we go later on this week, well, there is more unsettled weather to come. At the moment, Wednesday actually looks largely dry, at least to start, but then some rain is going to push its way in, particularly across southern parts later on.” Keep up to date with weather warnings, and you can

• Is there a heatwave on the way?

  the heat.” Heatwave criteria A UK heatwave threshold is met when a location records a period of at least three consecutive days with daily maximum temperatures meeting or exceeding the heatwave temperature threshold. The threshold varies by UK county. Although some parts of England may perhaps meet

• uk_monthly_climate_summary_annual_2021.pdf

  the UK during 2021. The provisional UK mean temperature for 2021 was 9.3 °C, which is 0.1 °C above average. January was the UK’s coldest month since March 2013, and April saw the most air frosts for the UK for at least 60 years. While January, April and May were notably cold, most of the other

• Met Office daily weather: Unsettled conditions for this weekend

  . READ MORE: How does the Met Office forecast snow? “As we head towards Sunday, there is unfortunately further wet and windy weather to come. Through the evening though, it'll likely stay fairly dry, at least across more northern areas. The rain will slowly start to ease across the south and east

• Wet and very windy build up to Christmas

  A mix of weather in the run-up to Christmas, including strong winds later this week and then a trend to colder weather at least over northern parts.

  the west later on. As this moves east, we may see rain turning to snow, at least over high ground. It’s unlikely that we will see widespread or settling snow giving any proper accumulations. Although technically it might be a white Christmas, don’t get your hopes up for a picture-perfect white landscape

• Seamless ensemble prediction

  , and centennial time scales or at least understand how predictions on shorter time scales can inform longer term projections. The first stage is to run an ensemble of the latest climate model with prescribed SSTs to understand which model parameters control predictability.  

• Warnings issued for wet and windy weekend

  , at least for a time. However, at this range, the details are quite uncertain and there’s still a chance of rain to areas further north. As always, details will become clearer with a shorter lead time.” You can check the latest forecast on our website, by following us on Twitter and Facebook, as well