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of monthly-mean rainfall due to external forcings is very high compared to ENSO-ISMR •High (low) COV and ExtVAR for AI, CI, NWI in Jun/Sep (Jul/Aug) •SI has least monthly variation in both COV and ExtVAR Correlations: Regional Rainfall with Climate Index •Effect of regional teleconnections on ISMR (mean CI

-scale ice coverage is beyond the capabilities of current long-range forecasting. Therefore our estimates are restricted to the extent of the Arctic sea ice. This is defined as the area of the Arctic Ocean with at least 15% ice coverage. In the long-term average, this area varies from 14.4-16.5

rainfall totals at Capel Curig and Seathwaite, Cumbria from 1 to 16 March 2019 as an example of the persistence of the wet weather. The accumulated rainfall totals are given in the table below. At least three stations in Cumbria (Seathwaite, Honister Pass and Mickleden, Middlefell Farm) recorded over

in Agroecosys. CH4 removal has at least two key benefits: reducing temperature more rapidly than CDR and improving air quality through reduced surface ozone concentrations. For the first time, the results in Abernethy et al. quantify the climate and air quality co-benefits of CH4 emissions removal

seen at least 5% of the station network record snow falling on Christmas Day. This means we can probably expect more than half of all Christmas Days to be a 'white Christmas'.  However, the Dickensian scene of widespread snow lying on the ground on Christmas Day is much rarer. There has only been

individuals or organisations are requested to submit a max. two page Expression of Interest (EoI), outlining the proposed methodology, timeline and costings. In addition, attachments of relevant experience (CV or equivalent) and at least one example of relevant work and two references should be submitted

receive NSWW – 1,280 Met Office | Emergency Responder Survey | Met Office Debrief | May 2017 | External Use Only 3 Ratings of NSWWS are very positive 88% rate factors as at least ‘good’ Q15 In general, how would you rate the National Severe Weather Warnings Service on each of the following? Base

systems away from the UK at least until the middle of next week. And that means it’s going to stay dry. It doesn’t mean it’s going to stay sunny and warm everywhere, because we’ve got an easterly wind thanks to that high pressure, and that easterly wind is pulling in, from time to time, areas of cloud

home warm Heat your home to at least 18 degrees Celsius is important. Properly insulating your home not only keeps you warm and healthy but can also help keep your heating costs down. Check on others Older neighbours and relatives are more at risk from the cold, so make sure you check in on them

at different types of drought and the likelihood of human influence on them. There is at least medium confidence that less precipitation has been observed across significant parts of Africa and South America. Across each continent there is evidence much of Africa, western North America