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, such that we expect only a 10% chance of temperatures at a particular location being less than those in B, and only a 10% chance of temperatures higher than in C. Note that these ranges are for each individual location. The chances of these limits being met everywhere are very small, so the complete

of the Arctic, with mean sea level pressure lower than average everywhere except in the East Siberian Sea (Figure 4a). The Laptev Sea saw the highest temperature anomalies (Figure 4b), with a small region exceeding +3°C relative to the 1981-2010 average, partly due to very warm conditions from late June

the UK observes 25 °C or more will increase. Data available here. UKCP18 showed that a summer as exceptionally warm as 2018 was very unlikely (less than 10% chance) in the recent past (1981-2000), but that warming so far had increased the chance to between 10-20%. By mid-century, summers as warm

was notably, although not exceptionally, warm. Two very warm periods occurred early and late in the season, both of which corresponded with rapid sea ice loss. However, for the middle of the melting season conditions were cooler with near-average ice loss. Predictions of September 2022 sea ice tended

1990 levels by the middle of that period. By the Seventh Carbon Budget, the Climate Change Committee projects that UK emissions will be only a quarter of current levels, requiring significant reductions across all sectors. Renewable energy technologies such as wind and solar power have a very clear

We received enough rainfall in a single day to fill Loch Ness. The first half of October (1-13th) has been very wet across the UK. Early provisional statistics show England has already received 87% of its monthly average rainfall, with the south east and central southern England having reaching 110% of average by October 13th. Find out more on the Met Office blog and our Past Weather Events page.

in general they pay close attending to the box on the warning matrix. Very positive feedback was put forward about the Met Office YouTube channel saying the output is excellent. Item 5: Review of Weather Events IH provided a summary of the engagement in N. Ireland over the last year and appointments

Very hot conditions are expected to persist across eastern and southeastern parts of the UK through the working week.

at Faversham on 10 August 2003.  The dry spell has been most prolonged in East Anglia and Southeast England. Most especially much of East Anglia and Cambridgeshire, extending through Essex into London and also around Bournemouth and Southampton.  Parts of the Midlands have also been very dry. The last day

for the public when they need it most.”  Evelyn Cusack, Head of Forecasting Division in Met Éireann, welcomes storm naming as a very important tool in National Met Services’ warnings arsenal. She said: “The annual unveiling of the new storm names on the 1st September creates great media and public interest

% -------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------------- 79% Feel forecasts are very (39%) or fairly (48%) useful Feel forecasts are very (17%) or fairly (62%) accurate 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 5 Base: all respondents who watch/see/hear weather forecasts Q01, Q02 (2068) Weather forecasts are seen by the majority