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• PowerPoint Presentation

  (November-January). However, other centres (such as BoM) have predictions which are much more finely balanced between ENSO-neutral and La Niña. Clearly, there is some uncertainty with predictions. Most likely is that ENSOneutral conditions will persist for the next couple of months, with any transition

• PowerPoint Presentation

  international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Africa: November to August Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – Whilst oceanic indicators, including sea surface temperatures

• PowerPoint Presentation

  in the map indicate a ranking of temperature, with the 0th percentile being the coolest and the 100th percentile being the warmest in the 1981-2010 climatology. Orange and red shading represent values above the 80th (Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue

• PowerPoint Presentation

  Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) stating that: “There is a ~60% chance of a transition from La Niña to ENSO-Neutral during the Northern Hemisphere spring 2021 (April-June).” Despite this trend La Niña will continue to be a dominant driver of rainfall patterns, especially in the tropics

• uk_monthly_climate_summary_201806pdf

  the north-east. The 7th was cloudy in the south with a little showery rain for some, but mostly sunny elsewhere. Scattered outbreaks of mostly light rain affected central and northeastern areas on the 8th, extending into the south-west in the a ernoon, dry elsewhere but mostly cloudy except

• uk_monthly_climate_summary_201806.pdf

  the north-east. The 7th was cloudy in the south with a little showery rain for some, but mostly sunny elsewhere. Scattered outbreaks of mostly light rain affected central and northeastern areas on the 8th, extending into the south-west in the a ernoon, dry elsewhere but mostly cloudy except

• 150414 International Consultation FINAL

  PWS International Products Consultation Executive Summary Although this was a fairly light touch consultation due to limited Secretariat resources, the evidence in this report is enough to be able to give some broad conclusions to the questions posed: 1. Are the current international services

• asia-climate-outlook---september-2023-v2.pdf

  shading represent values above the 80th (Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map are from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center

• PowerPoint Presentation

  months there is ~95% chance of La Niña continuing. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) states that: “La Niña is expected to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020-21 (~95% chance during January-March), with a potential transition to ENSO-neutral during

• NCIC Monthly Summary

  , mostly light and patchy, for northern and central parts. Again it was generally cloudy on the 4th, with local mist or fog patches first thing, and rain, heavy at times, spreading slowly and erratically from the north-west during the morning to reach central parts, Honister Pass (Cumbria) wettest