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  • Easter weather extremes: the records behind a famously changeable weekend

    , particularly in exposed north‑western areas. While there remains some uncertainty in the finer detail, the overall signal points towards a wet and windy Easter weekend, a reminder that this time of year can deliver a wide range of weather. The Easter weather station record book shows just how

  • Relative lack of Spring rainfall triggers water scarcity alert

    back to winter; a season traditionally regarded as a recharge period for the UK’s water supplies. UK rainfall over winter was down compared with average, with only 83% of average rainfall being recorded for the UK. This relative shortfall in a key period fuelled hopes for more rain to come for spring

  • How long will the cold last?

    Jan 2024 Will the current cold spell last or will we see a return to the wet and windy weather we experienced through the Christmas and new year period? After the unsettled Christmas and New Year period we are now seeing an abrupt change to much colder weather with temperatures below average

  • What is the jet stream and how does it affect our weather?

    and making their paths less predictable. These meanders can lead to prolonged periods of wet or dry weather, depending on where the jet stream is positioned. The jet stream can also intensify weather systems. When it flows over an area of low pressure, it can act like a vacuum cleaner, drawing air out

  • ex-hurricane-ophelia-16-october-2017---met-office.pdf

    ) was the second storm of the 2017-2018 winter season, following Storm Aileen on 12 to 13 September. The strongest winds were around Irish Sea coasts, particularly west Wales, with gusts of 60 to 70 Kt or higher in exposed coastal locations. Impacts The most severe impacts were across the Republic of Ireland

  • Met Office Deep Dive: Winter arrives early

    to be dominated by a mix of high- and low-pressure systems, with frosty nights during ridges of high pressure and milder conditions when weather systems move through. The trend is for occasional spells of rain, temperatures closer to average, and a mixture of dry and wet days. Looking ahead: Sudden

  • ukcp18-fact-sheet-derived-projections.pdf

    general trends of climate changes in the 21 st century are similar to UKCP09, with a move towards warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers. However, natural variations mean that some cold winters, some dry winters, some cool summers and some wet summers will still occur. • At 2°C of global mean

  • Met Office 10-day trend: A tale of two halves for September

    for September Author: Press Office Thu 25 Sep 2025 September has been a month of contrasts across the UK, with the weather delivering a tale of two halves. The start of the month was unsettled, bringing plenty of wet weather and changeable conditions. However, as we moved further into September, the pattern

  • Met Office deep dive: A gusty Bonfire Night and a typhoon heading towards Vietnam

    and creating waving effects on the lee side. For those planning to head out for bonfire celebrations, the timing and location will be key. A band of rain is expected to move across parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland during the evening, making for a wet start in those areas. However, much of England

  • Understanding long-range forecasts: Science, skill, and application

    to predict the exact weather on a particular day months ahead, forecasters can estimate the probability of certain conditions, such as a wetter-than-average season or an increased risk of heatwaves. READ MORE: How the Met Office utilises Big Data in its operations Accuracy in long-range forecasting

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