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, November continues 2022’s run of every month being warmer than average, with the first 11 months of the year the warmest on record for the UK.  Mike Kendon of the National Climate Information Centre said: “Although it’s too early to guarantee that 2022 will be the UK’s warmest year, the first 11 months

Factsheet 4 of 6 Version date: Mar 2021 Risk management of climate thresholds and irreversible change: Tropical forests What is the nature of the threshold? Various processes can cause thresholds and irreversible change in tropical forests 1 . In the fire-vegetation feedback, loss of forest allows

and a verification process.   2022 will also be the warmest year on record in the 364-year Central England temperature series from 1659, the world’s longest instrumental record of temperature.  Dr Mark McCarthy is the head of the Met Office’s National Climate Information Centre. He said: “2022 is going

conditions because of climate change?” There is also climate trend attribution, which look at trends beyond individual extreme events. Attribution science compares modelled worlds with and without the human influence on greenhouse gas emissions to understand the impact of climate change

UK Climate Projections: Headline Findings August 2022 Version 4.0 www.metoffice.gov.uk Source: Met Office © Crown Copyright 2022 Version control Revision History of the changes from the previous version of this document. Version Revision date Modified sections Modifier / Comments V1.0 26/11/2018

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of small-scale behaviour seen in the real atmosphere, including atmospheric convection 2 , as well as the influence of mountains, coastlines and urban areas. Locally relevant information can help to inform decision-making on future climate change, to enhance resilience, and adds further capability

term risk to the UK’s domestic production comes from climate change and other environmental pressures like soil degradation, water quality and biodiversity”. We’re already seeing the influence of climate change with warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers. UK Climate Projections indicate

UK Climate Projections: Headline Findings September 2019 Version 2 www.metoffice.gov.uk © Crown Copyright 2018, Met Office ) Version Control Revision History of the changes from the previous version of this document: Version Revision date Modified sections Modifier / Comments V1.0 26/11/2018 First

ice extent has been declining at an average rate of over 12% per decade since satellite records began (Fig 1) (1) , and is one of the most rapidly changing components of the global climate system. If the Arctic Ocean becomes seasonally ice-free 1 , this would happen first in September when Arctic sea