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of heatwaves have increased in Ukraine in recent decades and are projected to further increase in the future. In a 4°C warmer world, heatwaves which previously occurred once-in-50 years may occur nearly every year. Extreme rainfall The frequency and intensity of very heavy rainfall events is projected

to start  Mixed conditions will kick-start February, with mostly dry conditions today in England and Wales, and scattered sunny spells once low cloud and fog clears. Northern Ireland and Scotland will be much more unsettled, with coastal gales and a Yellow warning for rain has been issued for parts

Hot dry spell July 2013 From 3 to 23 July 2013 the UK experienced a spell of hot, sunny weather with an area of high pressure established across the UK. Many areas - particularly in the south and west - experienced almost unbroken sunshine, although easterly winds brought some low cloud to north

hotter • Heavier rainfall • Rainy seasons are not as reliable www.metoffice.gov.uk/schools | 10 © Crown Copyright 2020, Met Office Fiji Key climate changes • Sea level rise • More intense storms • More tropical cyclones • Hotter temperatures www.metoffice.gov.uk/schools | 11 © Crown Copyright 2020, Met Office Find out more at www.metoffice.gov.uk/schools www.metoffice.gov.uk/schools | 12 © Crown Copyright 2020, Met Office

This week we are going to see a lot of very warm, locally hot, and at times sunny weather across the UK as high pressure builds to dominate our weather.

, and where. That said over the preceding weekend it will probably become cloudier and less hot from the west with some outbreaks of rain, which could be heavy and thundery at times. Eastern and south-eastern parts will more likely than not stay dry, sunny and locally hot through Saturday too and possibly

and it will probably be hot in parts of southern and eastern England, as temperatures peak close to 30 Celsius. “It’s possible Northern Ireland and Scotland will join the rest of the country in seeing a spell of warmer weather later next week, as this hot air from the continent extends northwards

changes taken from the UKCP18 PPE15 global strand High-impact low-likelihood scenarios: scenario report 13 Table HILL1-2: HI-1 enhanced warming scenario: frequency of ‘extreme’ days Hot days (% of days) 2050s 2070s DJF MAM JJA SON DJF MAM JJA SON England 33 39 64 59 44 56 85 77 Wales 33 41 65 60 44 59

, particularly in the hottest regions where the levels of heat stress will be more severe, and larger areas will be affected. In addition, the intensity of heavy precipitation events will increase, exacerbating the risk of flash flooding, landslides and GLOF events. � Scenario 3 represents a hotter and drier

. The heat also triggered intense thunderstorms, particularly in Switzerland, where the combination of high temperatures and atmospheric instability led to dramatic weather events. READ MORE: England’s warmest June on record and the UK’s second warmest since 1884 Why is it so hot? The persistent heat