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Decadal forecast 2018

Outlook for global climate in the coming years

Forecast issued January 2019. The forecast will next be updated in January 2020. Decadal forecasts, also called ‘near-term’ climate predictions, range up to a decade ahead. Predictions account for natural variability and climate change as these are expected to be of similar size in many parts

News

Wildfire threatens global climate goals by weakening carbon sinks

New research reveals that wildfires are accelerating carbon loss from ecosystems, reducing the amount of emissions society can release, while still avoiding the worst impacts of climate change.

Wildfires are accelerating carbon loss from ecosystems, reducing the planet’s ability to store carbon and complicating efforts to meet global climate targets. According to new research led by the UK Met Office, fire is already affecting land carbon sinks, making it harder to slow global warming

News

Impact studies should include high-sensitivity climate models

High-sensitivity climate models should not be excluded when projecting future regional climate impacts because the level of warming measured globally is not always the only good indicator of regional changes, a new study suggests.

Some models which scientists use to project future changes in Earth's climate show faster global warming than others, leading to temperature projections that are considered unlikely. Some experts suggest that these more sensitive (or ‘hotter’) models should be omitted when studying future climate

Will UK thunderstorms become more extreme as our climate changes?

causes thunder and lightning, how climate change may influence future storms in the UK, and what you can do to stay safe when they occur. What are thunderstorms? Thunderstorms form when warm, moist air rises rapidly into cooler air above, creating instability in the atmosphere. This process leads

exploring-climate-impacts-11-14-age-welsh_v2.pdf

gyda’r 5 mlynedd gynhesaf yn digwydd er 2006. Cyfeiriwch at sleid 5. Mae blynyddoedd oerach yn las, tra bod blynyddoedd cynhesach yn goch. I gael rhagor o wybodaeth am ffigurau’r DU: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/ press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2019/state-oftheuk-climate-2018

News

Met Office launches new Local Authority Climate Service

New service provides Local Authorities crucial information on climate change in their area.

The Met Office has today launched the Local Authority Climate Service, a tool that provides local authorities with easy access to tailored information on climate change, to support local climate change adaptation planning. It is clear that our climate is changing; underlying the natural variability

02050 Southern Africa Climate Risk infographic-full link

Main climate risks in the Southern Africa region by the 2050s Agriculture and food security • Greater rainfall variability, more extremes and rising temperatures will have broadly negative impacts on Southern African agricultural yields including important staples such as maize and wheat, including

Microsoft Word - Human dynamics of climate change QA v2_KR.doc

Human dynamics of climate change – Q & A Q1. What does the map show? A1. The poster illustrates some of the impacts of climate and population change in the context of a globalised world. There are two types of information included in the poster — present-day human dynamics, and projected future

UK Climate Resilience Programme: Shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs)

Outputs from the Shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) project within the UK Climate Resilience Programme.

UK socioeconomic scenarios for climate research and policy (UK-SSPs) overview The UK-SSPs project within the UK Climate Resilience Programme produced a series of UK-specific socio-economic narratives and gridded data for a range of indicators to 2100. These were intended to help answer key

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