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Chance of summer heatwaves now thirty times more likely

temperatures being as high as the UK experienced in summer 2018. This compares with a less than half per cent chance we’d expect in a natural climate.” In the UKCP18 climate projections published last week, the Met Office described that by mid-century, such hot summers could become very common

NCIC Monthly Summary

-eastwards before thundery outbreaks developed briefly over northern parts of East Anglia. Most places were then dry and sunny, but cloud and rain spread from the south-west late in the day. It turned very windy on the 22nd and 23rd, and overnight 21st/22nd the temperature fell no lower than 17.3 °C

met_office_pagasa_february_workshop_report.pdf

for another paper on, “Assessing the use of multiple climate projections for the Philippines”, and a call for a policy brief to be one of the output formats. Given the positive response, the plan for a collaborative publication will be pursued, led by Dr Daron and colleagues at the Met Office and PAGASA

PowerPoint Presentation

-term impact of your project Step 5. Identify interventions needed to create desired change Step 3. Understand and map the change process Step 4. Make your assumptions explicit Step 5: Identify interventions This step involves identifying what your project is going to ‘do’ once what needs to happen

UKCP FAQs

percentiles hones in on a certain area in uncertainty space. Note that once you have collapsed the uncertainty in this way then it is invalid to make probabilistic statements about the results obtained without also saying that this is only relevant to the 10% (if sampling by 1 variable) or 1% (if sampling

ukcp18-overview-summary.pdf

of climate changes in the 21st century are similar to UKCP09, with a move www.metoffice.gov.uk Pg 2 of 4 Source: Met Office © Crown Copyright 2019 towards warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers. However, natural variations mean that some cold winters, some dry winters, some cool summers and some

Why has it been so warm and humid recently?

hot spell, temperatures of 30°C or more had been recorded on 11 separate days, something that has only happened twice before, in 1976 and 2018. What’s driving the heat? Several factors are contributing to the current warm spell. One is the condition of the ground. While overall summer rainfall has

News

Turning warmer but more unsettled

our first sustained period of hot weather of the year so far, so it’s important that everyone ensures they keep hydrated and cool while enjoying the sun. “Forecasted temperatures this week will primarily impact those over the age of 65 or those with pre-existing health conditions

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Warmer weather on the way

of the risks around hot weather. In England alone there were more than 2,500 excess deaths in the summer of 2020, and unfortunately it’s predicted that heat-related deaths in the UK could treble within 30 years.” Find advice on looking after yourself in hot weather with WeatherReady or on the British Red

uk_monthly_climate_summary_summer_2020_3.pdf

and August being warmer than average but July rather cooler. After the sunny and dry spring, these three months were mostly unsettled, but each summer month did contain some hot weather. The last day of July brought a one-off hot day to central and southern England, and a more sustained period

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