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percentiles hones in on a certain area in uncertainty space. Note that once you have collapsed the uncertainty in this way then it is invalid to make probabilistic statements about the results obtained without also saying that this is only relevant to the 10% (if sampling by 1 variable) or 1% (if sampling

, in order to crystallise partner priorities and align future WCSSP plans. It is also key that WCSSP continues to track and demonstrate impact against Newton objectives (science for service to society and related socio-economic benefits) and the Sustainable Development Goals. Thank you once again

for the post-2007 climate. A new record low extent remains a possibility. Antarctic sea ice extent remains 2nd lowest on record for the time of year, although at the end of July it was briefly very close to last year’s record-breaking low extent. Arctic Arctic sea ice state Arctic sea ice extent

there was a brief spell of milder weather in the south. In Northern Ireland, thousands of households experienced difficulties with freezing water supplies. Heavy snow on Tuesday 29th and Wednesday 30th across Wales and the Peak District closed trunk roads, while in Scotland, 3 climbers died

by Major Ernest Gold on 24 October 1916. All of Gold's forecasts are available from our Digital Library and Archive. Although the first forecast was brief, with time the forecasts developed to become more detailed and were accompanied by synoptic charts for North West France including short forecasts

of coastal gales. Sunday will bring a brief respite as early rain clears eastwards, giving way to a mix of sunny spells and blustery showers. These showers will be most frequent and intense across Scotland, Northern Ireland, and northern England, where hail and thunder are possible. Winds

a novel design that ensured interactive participation of the members, through Q and As and breakout sessions. Besides providing definitions, sources and users of CIS, members were briefed on developing climate change legislation, budgeting, and monitoring and evaluation. The MPs in attendance requested

, including the partial release of the FP7 provision and the potential impacts of COVID-19. Cash flow was considered. • Paul Riches briefed the Board on activities at BEIS, noting the work to respond to the economic impacts of COVID-19. • The report of the 24 th Met Office Scientific Advisory Committee

, including the increasing importance of data strategy. • Penny Endersby thanked the Board for their contribution to the virtual ‘Awards of Excellence’ which had been well choreographed and received positive feedback. • James Partington (NED, BEIS representative) briefed the Board on activities at BEIS

& Environment journal, assessed the characteristics and evolution of the June MHW. Using the REP modelling framework, the team showed how weak winds, strong sunshine and tropical air streams contributed to developing of warmer ocean temperatures around the UK. Once the MHW was established, a combination