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• Weekend weather forecast: A later return for summer?

  highlighted earlier will slowly shift eastwards overnight Saturday into Sunday, fuelled by a relatively strong jet stream. As this system moves in, rainfall will increase, particularly across southern and southeastern upslope areas, where totals could reach 20 to 40 millimetres, especially over high ground

• An average October comes to a close

  Ireland and large parts of Wales having below average rainfall. Most of England was around average for monthly rainfall, though pockets of higher totals were seen in parts of the south, West Midlands and far northeast. Overall the UK saw 84% (103.5mm) of the long term average, with England just above

• richard-jones---k-scale-year-long-global-um-simulations-for-dyamond-3-at-convection-permitting-resolutionpdf

  precipitation to total Modifications for higher grid resolutions “Trailblazer” CoMA9_TBv1p2: • Reduced initial moisture perturbations • Reduced scaling of initiating mass-flux at each height • Increased precipitation rate leading to the maximum updraught size (and introduced grid-size dependency

• With just days to go, how close are we to breaking spring records?

  , with further rain likely for some this weekend which will top up totals further.    England and Wales have also been particularly dry, though other UK nations have now moved out of their top 10 driest.   With more rain in the forecast over the final weekend of May, it’s still possible

• Understanding convergence zones and the Intertropical Convergence Zone

  continue to converge, wet conditions can persist, sometimes resulting in significant rainfall totals and even flooding. Convergence lines are not limited to a particular season and can occur at any time of year. During the summer months, local sea breezes can help form convergence lines

• Climate change raised the odds of unprecedented wildfires in 2023-24

  Earth System Science Data, the report finds that carbon emissions from wildfires globally were 16% above average, totalling 8.6 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide. Emissions from fires in the Canadian boreal forests were over nine times the average of the past two decades and contributed almost

• arrcc_newsletter_1221pdf

  , gathered virtually to co-produce an outlook for the upcoming December, January, February (DJF) season for South Asia. This season holds particular importance in Afghanistan and Pakistan where much of the total annual rainfall occurs during this time. As such, the South Asian Seasonal Climate Outlook

• richard-jones---k-scale-year-long-global-um-simulations-for-dyamond-3-at-convection-permitting-resolution.pdf

  precipitation to total Modifications for higher grid resolutions “Trailblazer” CoMA9_TBv1p2: • Reduced initial moisture perturbations • Reduced scaling of initiating mass-flux at each height • Increased precipitation rate leading to the maximum updraught size (and introduced grid-size dependency

• Our journey to Net Zero; carbon neutral by 2030

  , or an equivalent (CO2e) amount of other greenhouse gases such as methane, nitrous oxide or hydrofluorocarbons. Our total CO2e emissions are often referred to as our carbon footprint. Contents Our starting point Existing successes Support for other organisations Next steps   Met Office journey to Net Zero

• ‘Declining phase’ for Sun’s activity, but what’s next?

  the total number of sunspots appears to be on the wane, as expected, it’s important to note that we have observed in the past the strongest and most significant space weather events after solar maximum has occurred. This means that there remains an ongoing chance of further significant space weather