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• NCIC Monthly Summary

  June 2020 The averaging period used for the following assessment was 1981-2010. The very sunny and warm weather of late May continued into the start of June, but a cool northerly type became established from the 3rd to 7th, bringing showers and some longer spells of rain. After a brief settled

• Creating a five-year window into future climate

  prediction looking out to five years ahead. Understanding current climate risks Professor Adam Scaife is the head of long range prediction at the Met Office. He said: “This is an exciting new scientific capability.  As human-induced climate change grows, it is becoming even more important

• Atlantic tropical cyclones influencing the forecast

  of the Atlantic.  Paul Gundersen is a Met Office Chief Forecaster. He said: “The influence of low pressure - with associated thunderstorms and bouts of heavy rain - will continue to dominate this week, especially on Friday. Though the low pressure will finally move eastwards on Saturday, meaning that many

• Met Office weather: What's in store for the next 10 days?

  The UK has seen an exceptional spring so far, marked by prolonged dry, sunny, and warm conditions, thanks to a dominant high-pressure system. But, according to our latest Ten-Day Trend, this settled spell is nearing its end, with a significant shift in the weather pattern expected just in time

• A brief respite for some before cold returns

  temperatures for many. Jason Kelly is the Chief Forecaster. He said: “The worst of the snowfall in England is over for now, but further weather warnings will be in force to cover the further hazards brought by frost and ice.” Northernmost parts of Scotland are likely to be subjected to further snow showers

• Cold conditions likely with risk of snow

  There is increasing confidence that the recent Sudden Stratospheric Warming above the North Pole could lead to prolonged cold conditions over the UK, increasing the risk of easterly wind and significant snow.

  the outcome of this particular event, there is an increased risk of cold conditions in the latter part of February, including the possibility of heavy snowfall. Frank Saunders is a Met Office Chief Operational Meteorologist. He said: “A Sudden Stratospheric Warming implies around a 70 per cent

• Microsoft Word - march.docx

  it was not as warm as the March 2012 or 2017. Both mean maximum and mean minimum temperatures were between 0.5 and 2.0 °C above average with the largest positive anomalies generally in the east and southeast. It was the 5th wettest March in a series from 1910 with 140% of average rainfall

• How long will the cold conditions last?

  . Matthew Lewis is a Deputy Chief Operational Meteorologist. He said: “A Sudden Stratospheric Warming event is now expected to occur and will peak over the coming week. The resulting impact on the weather in the UK is still hugely uncertain, but there are some signs of conditions that an easterly flow could

• Met Office 10-day weather forecast: more rain to come

  Alex. Further rain in the weekend By Saturday, further wet weather is likely, with some thundery showers likely for much of the country. Alex explained what’s behind the wetter theme. He said, “The jet stream is driving an area of low pressure that’s heading towards us. It’s not an especially deep

• Do you know what climate action to take for a safer future?

   everyday actions webpage for some suggestions of ‘quick wins’ – many of these come at no or very little cost. Adaptation remains important Even if greenhouse gas emissions are reduced, we’re already committed to a level of global warming and associated impacts from past emissions released