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Nick Rayner

Nick leads our climate monitoring and observational climate data set development work.

is responsible for the leadership and management of people in the Climate Monitoring and Attribution group who develop observed climate data sets and use them to monitor the current state of the climate and evaluate climate models. The team produces homogeneous records of climate variability and change

Scorching Junes: How often do we see temperatures over 30°C in June?

geographic spread of extreme heat. The Met Office’s long-term climate records and rolling averages confirm this warming trend. The Met Office 2023 State of the UK Climate report provided new analysis on this change, highlighting how temperature extremes and records are most affected by the UK’s changing

July 2022: a dry run for UK’s future climate?

and heatwaves are very apparent in the climate records of recent decades, the large variability in our rainfall means that it is too soon to be able to detect the pattern in summer rainfall.”  Persistent high pressure has not only brought a lot of dry weather this month, it has also resulted in a warmer

session-2-future-forecast-2050-presentation-welsh.pdf

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News

Hot and humid this weekend

the afternoon of that day. However, standard climate observations record maximum temperatures over a 24 hour period from 0900 GMT to 0900 GMT and the highest temperature reached during the standard climatological day was 32.5 degrees at Heathrow just before 0900 on 1st July at the start of what became

typhoon_haiyan_(yolanda)_in_the_philippines_summary_for_policymakers.pdf

to TCs, with a lower risk in the south (especially south Mindanao) and a higher risk further north. What sources of historical and future climate information are available? Observational climate records are available from meteorological stations across the Philippines since about the 1950s, although

Climate newsletter

Our twice-monthly climate newsletter covers the latest news on climate change and our environment. We’ll share scientific thinking and developments in climate science.

Office climate newsletter – Latest issue Issue 98, 10 September 2025 - Spotlight on wamest UK summer on record Recent climate newsletter editions Issue 97, 27 August 2025 - Climate news Issue 96, 13 August 2025 - Spotlight on stories of adaptation Issue 95, 23 July 2025 - Spotlight on State of the UK Climate 2024 Issue 94, 9 July 2025 - Climate news Issue 93, 25 June 2025 - Spotlight on rising likelihood of UK hot days

What do climate tipping points mean for the UK?

throughout the climate system and is responsible for a mild climate in the UK. Some studies suggest that the AMOC could have a tipping point, with evidence that the circulation has collapsed into a state of reduced flow in the distant past, from climate records taken from geological and biological

News

Climate change drives UK’s first year over 10°C

Study shows human induced climate change made the UK’s record-breaking annual temperature around 160 times more likely.

It is now possible to confirm that 2022 was the UK’s hottest year on record, with an average temperature of over 10°C recorded for the first time. Influence of climate change An attribution study conducted by Met Office scientists has shown that what would have been around a 1-in-500 year annual

wiser0019_enacts-rwanda-case-study_1216.pdf

a range of climate sensitive sectors, efforts to provide routinely updated quality information face many challenges. At the core of any effective climate services are data. Furthermore, ground observational climate records are essential to produce quality data and reliable climate analysis, short-term

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