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The temperature data published by the WMO - in their provisional 2021 State of the Global Climate report - shows that the period 2002-2021 reached an average of 1.01°C ±0.12 °C. For context, the Paris Agreement aims to limit global warming to well below 2.0 °C, preferably to 1.5 °C. A global

second warmest, it by no means guarantees that this ranking will be the same by the time we get to the end of the year. The figure will be highly dependent on the regimes that influence the UK’s weather through October, November and December. The UK’s September climate statistics were published earlier

decrease or remain unchanged. At the same time, there is a likelyincrease in both the maximum wind speeds and rates of precipitation for tropical cyclones globally. The future influence of climate change on tropical cyclones is likely to vary by region, but the specific characteristics of the changes

as our climate warms. This will lead to heavier rainfall when it does rain, but also to more dry spells, and can be thought of as an intensification of the water cycle.  One outstanding question is how the strong influence of El Nino on Brazilian rainfall might change in future. El Nino years tend

examines weather phenomena outside the UK. Understanding the drivers behind weather in the UK There are several interconnected global weather and climate systems, known as global drivers, that have the potential to influence the weather we see here in the UK in the next three months. The jet stream

the effect of human influence on the occurrence of UK annual mean temperatures exceeding those observed in 2023. While 2023 did not exceed the record set in 2022 (Christidis et al., 2023) it came very close. We provide estimates for the exceedance probability of similar events in the climate

Partners to provide feedback on what could be improved based on your experience of using the guidance. Feedback should be sent to: [email protected]. 2 2. Introduction and background The Met Office has been commissioned by the FCDO to manage the Weather and Climate Information Services (WISER

and weather conditions. For example, staying indoors during a thunderstorm or remembering to wear sun lotion when it is sunny outside. Extension activity: If you’d like to learn more about the job of a Meteorologist at the Met Office, take a look at our ‘Day in the life’ video. If you’d like to share

Wales: climate Wales is a mainly mountainous country with much of the land being over 150 metres. In the north, Snowdon is the highest mountain in England and Wales, at 1085 metres, and in the south the Brecon Beacons rise to 885 metres. The rivers drain radially from the upland areas, the Severn

An attribution study of the UK mean temperature in year 2022. Technical summary. Details of the attribution system in Christidis (2021). Nikolaos Christidis, Peter A Stott, Mark McCarthy January 2023. An attribution study was conducted to examine how human influence on the climate increases