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normal, with the residual influence from La Niña Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Asia: January to October Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: 3-Month Outlook May to July - Rainfall As described in the temperature section

HOW TO NOTE 1 COMMISSIONING SOCIO- ECONOMIC BENEFIT STUDIES OF WEATHER AND CLIMATE INFORMATION SERVICES Supported by: WEATHER AND CLIMATE INFORMATION SERVICES FOR AFRICA (WISER) The Weather and Climate Information Services for Africa (WISER) programme is enhancing the resilience of African people

variables in the model. The way that clouds influence and are influenced by temperature change and aerosol concentrations, for example, is not yet completely understood. Satellites can provide coincident measurements of the related variables for a wide range of different conditions to help climate

of rainfall (particularly at shorter leadtimes). •However at longer leadtimes the predictability is not purely because of initialization but also due to external variability SST correlations with regional rainfall Influence of forcings in observations Solid Lines: 1993-2015 Fractional variance

in global surface warming. The key misunderstanding here is that the IPCC climate projections (shown by the green shading in Figure 1) are not initialised; they are driven by the long-term external forcings, from greenhouse gases to volcanoes and changes in the energy received from the sun

controlling factor in Pacific oyster growth and expansion. • Met Office have partnered with Kent and Ulster Wildlife Trusts to analyse and understand how climate change may impact on Pacific oyster numbers by analysing future changes in sea surface temperatures at Thanet, Kent and Strangford Lough, Ulster

An upscaling approach for climate services Worksheet This worksheet accompanies the upscaling toolkit as a place to record outcomes from following the approach This worksheet accompanies the main upscaling approach toolkit © document Crown copyright, and allows Met you Office to collate

Science Health Strategy Professor Rosa Barciela Principal Scientific Consultant Head of Health Science Integration (Weather and Climate) © Crown Copyright 2019, Met Office Contents Weather and Climate Science Health Strategy 3 Summary 3 Context – Why we need a Science Health Strategy 5 Our vision

events under different climate scenarios • Climate impact scenarios • Adaptation options • Cost benefit analyses of options • Implementation of selected option U TROTZ Caribbean Community Climate Change Centre 5 Enter CCORAL: select country/entire region Screening exercise Understanding climate influence

. Due to its coastal location, the UKCP Marine projections were also included. The Factsheets were funded as part of the UK Government Strategic Priorities Fund programme on UK Climate Resilience. The Factsheets Bristol Climate Change: The Science highlights the different factors influencing