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are few, so we use proxy observations (see ‘What do the projections show in recent climate?’ for more details). In the recent climate (1980-2000), the Global PPE-15 and Regional RCM-12 models agree well with the proxy observations in terms of duration and magnitude of the summer dry season, but show

of annual indices have also been calculated and gridded. These were derived from daily temperature (T) or precipitation data using the following definitions: • Growing Season Length (GSL) = period (days) bounded by daily T_mean > 5 °C and < 5 °C (after 1 st July) for ≥ 6 days. • Heating Degree Days

exceptionally wet and windy weather to the UK, particularly south Wales and south-west England. A few days later, the third named storm of the season, Storm Conall, brushed along the southern coast of England, bringing heavy rainfall. Although November started with mild temperatures, cold spells

exceptionally wet and windy weather to the UK, particularly south Wales and south-west England. A few days later, the third named storm of the season, Storm Conall, brushed along the southern coast of England, bringing heavy rainfall. Although November started with mild temperatures, cold spells

regions, especially in the northern part of the continent, weather conditions can change rapidly and a short dry spell can still lead to high fire activity even during a wetter than average season - please see Figure 8a showing fire trends and accumulated hot pixels in the Technical Information section

these daily rainfall grids. Instead, various derived quantities are available, by season and year, as summarised in Appendix 1. Data Source The station data were extracted from the Data Components database, which is a part of the Met Office climate data archive and contains a simplified version

emissions of greenhouse gases, the more we can avoid the most severe impacts of climate change.”  Climate change may also lead to wetter conditions in some places, as warmer air can hold more moisture, which can affect fuel availability and flammability.    Latest Climate Science of Wildfire  A new

the last decade Winter and Spring have seen 13% more sunshine3 Temperatures have been warmer by 0.9 °C3 Summers have been 13% wetter and winters have been 12% wetter3 Climate statistics in 2019 4 high temperature records Above average susnhine hours3 One of the least snowy years on record4 6 named storms5

does not change the UKCP18 headline message of a greater chance of warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers across the UK in future (Murphy et al, 2018). For 2061-80, under a high greenhouse gas emissions scenario (RCP8.5), the update suggests winters will be warmer by 3.3°C (2.0-3.5°C) 2

associated with an intense storm system passing over the UK, or a notably hot or cold day. Climate hazards relate to exceptional conditions over periods of months to seasons such as the exceptional wet winter of 2013/14, or summer droughts and heatwaves spanning several weeks or even months