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The influence of climate change on severe weather

findings from UK Climate Projections (UKCP) indicate that on average, summers will become hotter. Met Office UKCP Local projections indicate that hot spells will become more frequent in our future climate, particularly over the south-east of the UK, with temperatures projected to rise in all seasons

Observed and forecast tracks: northern hemisphere 2014

All tropical cyclones in the northern hemisphere season in 2014 are listed below including details of their start and end dates and maximum sustained wind (MSW). Qualitative comments are included on the performance of the Met Offi

Click on the name of the tropical cyclone to see a chart of the observed track and forecast tracks from the Met Office global model. Verification statistics on each tropical cyclone are available upon request from [email protected]. At the end of the season a verification report on the performance

wiser0106_sahel-forecasting-applications-report.pdf

available ahead of the 2019 rainy season. 2) Risk of extreme years within the 2-5 year period. A small amount of additional diagnostic work could provide supporting diagnostic information on the risk of very dry / very wet years within a 2-5 year period, based on the predicted 2-5 year tercile

News

An unsettled and chilly week for the UK

Storm Ewan was named by Met Éireann, the Irish Met service, as the fifth named storm of the season on Saturday night. Storm Ewan brought strong winds to southern areas of Ireland on Sunday 26 February

and hill snow in some areas. Chief Meteorologist Andy Page said: “Polar Maritime air is becoming established across the UK with colder conditions expected for the next few days, but nothing unusual for late winter. The week will be characterised by wet and windy spells across the southern half of the UK

An unsettled April draws to a close

average, but southern and eastern England being rather wet. For example, Kent saw 185% of its average rainfall while West Lothian saw just 59%. At least one weather station in Kent (East Malling) reported more than twice its normal rainfall. Storm Noa on 12 April 2023 was the second named storm

ukcp18-factsheet-using-rainfall-data-from-ukcp-v2.pdf

to less frequent, more extreme rainfall and therefore the seasonal mean may decrease while daily extreme values may stay similar to the baseline or increase. • See UKCP Probabilistic Extremes report and factsheet for more details. • Widespread wet bias in Europe and UK region in winter. Biases vary

mwr_2024_04_for_print.pdf

maximum temperature maps - calendar view 9. Daily minimum temperature maps - calendar view 10. Daily rainfall maps - calendar view 11. Monthly atmospheric circulation 12. Weather diary 13. Notes UK overview April continued the theme of the previous few months, being unsettled, wet and dull. The April

mwr_2024_04_for_print_v1.pdf

maximum temperature maps - calendar view 9. Daily minimum temperature maps - calendar view 10. Daily rainfall maps - calendar view 11. Monthly atmospheric circulation 12. Weather diary 13. Notes UK overview April continued the theme of the previous few months, being unsettled, wet and dull. The April

mena-climate-risk-report-final.pdf

is constrained by a lack of both water and arable land, with some regions constrained by temperature as well. By the 2050s, there is high confidence that warming will occur over all seasons, with increases in mean, minimum and maximum temperatures, higher evapotranspiration and in some locations more variable

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