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Clarity Helping you understand the facts about weather forecasting Forecasting the weather is essential to help you prepare for the best and the worst of our climate. Met Office forecasters work 24/7, 365 days of the year, using one of the world’s largest supercomputers to predict the weather

to year-to-year variability. In all simulations, the number of tropical cyclones varies substantially each year due to natural climate variability and the influence of large-scale climate processes, such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). This means

in sophistication between stakeholders, with many examples of users not able to maximise the value of the climate information. There is also substantial evidence that understanding people’s perceptions of climate-related risks is essential when developing policy to manage them, e.g. by influencing individual

the risks of climate change • PHE Sustainability Strategy • Sustainable Development Strategy for Health & Social Care System 2014 - 2020 • PHE Climate Change and Extreme Events Programme • National Planning Policy Framework, Natural Environment White Paper Methodological development and empirical

services and city infrastructure. Many of these communities, however, are in low-lying areas or next to rivers. This makes them extremely vulnerable to flooding, which can destroy homes and assets or even endanger life. Climate change means the threat is likely to increase, as some countries see

OFFICIAL Concept and Proposal – Concept Stage 1 Part one – Information only WISER (Weather and Climate Information Services) Africa Programme REGION: EAST AFRICA REFERENCE: W3_GRT22_CONCEPT_EAST (DN631514) Estimated Value: £300,000 - £1,500,000 (Three Hundred Thousand to One Million Five Hundred

OFFICIAL Concept and Proposal – Concept Stage 1 Part one – Information only WISER (Weather and Climate Information Services) Africa Programme REGION: SOUTHERN AFRICA CONTRACT REF: W3_GRT22_CONCEPT_SOUTH (DN631503) Estimated Value: £500,000 - £2,000,000 (Five Hundred Thousand to Two Million) Grant

forecast method uses total annual global emissions of 11.1 GtC, with annual emissions from fossil fuel burning and land use change estimated as 10.0 GtC and 1.1 GtC respectively, for 2022. Our prediction of a smaller atmospheric CO2 rise this year is due to natural climate variability being expected

capital investment will permit development of novel test beds to enable co-development with industry. This provides space for innovative research that is essential in progressing future computing. It leverages further investment from industry, enables computing researchers to influence development

below: • probability of exceeding 19 storms (2010) is 4.7% compared to a climate chance of 3.2%. • probability of exceeding 9 storms (2009) is 89.4% compared to a climate chance of 67.7%. • probability of exceeding 27 storms (2005) is the same as the climate chance of less than 1%. Tropical Storm