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week following over two months of record or near-record lows (Figure 1).  Figure 1. Daily Arctic sea ice extent for 2019, compared with recent years and the 1981-2010 average with ± 1 and 2 standard deviation intervals indicated by the shaded areas. Data are from the National Snow and Ice Data Center

Coupled Atmosphere only To What Extent Can Bjerknes Compensation Explain a Weak AMOC in GC5-LFRic? Benni Buchenau, Mike Bell and John Edwards (Met Office) 1. The Problem 2. Direct Driver: Too-Small Sea-Air Heat Fluxes from the Labrador Sea Figure 1: Time series of modelled North Atlantic AMOC

Royal Meteorological Society Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 00: 2–22(2014) Prepared using qjrms4.cls Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc. 00: 2–22 (2014) 1. Introduction climateprediction.net is the largest ensemble climate modelling experiment to date. Using

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Concentration Pathways (RCPs) used in climate modelss to describe possible futures based on assumptions about green house gas emissions. In RCP2.6 global emissions are strongly mitigated and reduced. Global temperature rise is kept below 2°C. In RCP8.5 global emissions grow unmitigated and global

Center. Climate Outlook Asia: March to December Current Status 9 Current Status – Central Asia Current Status: Temperature Current Status: Rainfall March April May March April May Afghanistan Hot (1) Hot (1) Warm Normal Normal Mixed (2) Tajikistan Normal Normal Warm Wet Normal Normal Kyrgyzstan Normal

) Normal (4) Normal (1) Dry Normal Tajikistan Hot Normal Normal Very Dry Dry Normal Kyrgyzstan Hot Normal Normal Normal (2) Dry Dry Notes: The table gives an assessment of whether temperature and rainfall across each country have been above normal, normal or below normal over the past three months

Emotion line graphs Deeper discovery Example of an emotion line graph Hopeful Pessimistic 1 2 3 4 5 6 www.metoffice.gov.uk | 2 © Crown Copyright 2022, Met Office Questions • Why are the line graphs different? Is this because some people have more of an emotional response to climate change than

rise by about 10%, with between 1% and 2% due to 2019/20 Australian bushfires.   We forecast the annual average CO2 concentration at Mauna Loa to be 2.74 ± 0.57 parts per million (ppm) higher in 2020 than in 2019 (Figure 1). This will continue the rising trend in CO2 seen in the long-term record

: Met Office Annual Report & Accounts Session: 2021/22 HC 741 ISBN: 978-1-5286-3480-9 Ordered by the House of Commons to be printed 20 October 2022 Correction: Page 4 – ISBN Text currently reads: 978-1-5286-2756-6 Text should read: 978-1-5286-3480-9 Date of correction: 24 October 2022 2 Performance