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Decadal forecast
Outlook for global climate in the coming years
of greenhouse gases. However, other changes in the climate system, including longer term shifts in both the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), are also contributing. Near record temperatures are predicted during the coming five years, although La Niña
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risk-management-of-climate-thresholds-and-feedbacks---5-a-seasonally-ice-free-arctic.pdf
ice extent has been declining at an average rate of over 12% per decade since satellite records began (Fig 1) (1) , and is one of the most rapidly changing components of the global climate system. If the Arctic Ocean becomes seasonally ice-free 1 , this would happen first in September when Arctic sea
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Spatial Climate Risk Assessments: A tool for understanding future risk and adaptation planning
Dr Laura Dawkins, Expert Scientist in Climate Risk & Resilience, looks into how we can accurately measure, mitigate and adapt to the risk of climate change.
Dr Laura DawkinsExpert Scientist in Climate Risk & ResilienceProfile Climate change is one of the biggest challenges of our generation and has already begun to cause irreversible damage to our planet. For example, increasingly high temperatures, such as those experience in the UK 2022 heatwave
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International Science Partnerships Fund (ISPF): Driving Global Collaboration in Climate Science
. ISPF supports strategic partnerships that foster prosperity, enable potential and strengthen the UK’s global influence. and strengthen the UK’s global influence. ISPF enables UK researchers and innovators to work with international partners on shared global challenges, including climate change
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WISER EWSA at the frontline of climate action – celebrating World Meteorological Day 2024
This year’s World Meteorological Day has the theme “at the frontline of climate action”. WISER EWSA is embracing this in two ways.
First, the transdisciplinary WISER-EWSA team is co-producing nowcast-based early warning alerts in southern Africa. Second, as a result of the co-production process, the project team is supporting greater inclusion in local structures that are at the frontline of climate action. Being
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Weather Wise: Joining forces to communicate weather and climate information for decision-making
The purpose of the Weather Wise project was to strengthen the capacity of media professionals and technical experts to respond to the climate and weather information needs of audiences.
The project was focused on people living in Northern Kenya, around the Lake Victoria shores of Kenya and Uganda, and the coastal strip of Kenya and Tanzania. The project was delivered in partnership by BBC Media Action and the Network of Climate Journalists in the Greater Horn of Africa (NECJOGHA
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A spatial analysis of trends in the UK climate since 1914 using gridded datasets
National Climate Information Centre Climate Memorandum No 21 A spatial analysis of trends in the UK climate since 1914 using gridded datasets (Version 1.1: June 2006) by Matthew Perry Scientific Consultancy, Met Office NOTE: This document has not been published. Permission to quote from
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Global call to action: addressing the critical gap in climate change risk assessment
The world currently lacks an authoritative and up to date assessment of climate change risks say a group of experts writing in the journal Nature today [25 February 2026]..
The paper's authors – led by the Met Office’s Professor Rowan Sutton and Professor Peter Stott – are calling for a global assessment of avoidable climate change risks to help governments and citizens understand the urgency of reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Without accelerated global action
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Heatwave for parts of the UK this week
Temperatures will climb through the week, potentially reaching record breaking levels by Thursday.
and overnight as they spread north into Wales before dissipating in the early hours of Wednesday. Temperatures will remain high overnight into Wednesday, making it uncomfortable to sleep, with potentially record-breaking overnight temperatures of 24°C. The previous record is 23.9°C set in August 1990
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April showers in shorter supply, but sunshine plentiful for many
The UK saw its seventh warmest April on record and its fourth sunniest. April saw an unsettled start, with a mixture of spring showers, colder spells and brief warmer interludes. The first week of the month also saw Storm Dave, the fourth named storm of the season, bringing very strong winds, snow