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, but wet or very wet in the southwest and east (May) (3) Note: Normal in the north (4) Note: Very Wet in the southwest, very dry in the north, normal elsewhere * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Africa: May to February Current

Meteorological Autumn has been wet and mild, with temperatures and rainfall above average, according to provisional Met Office figures.

Northern Ireland has recorded its third wettest Autumn since the series began in 1836, and Wales its tenth. Autumn 2025 now stands as the only season of the year to report above average rainfall, with winter, spring and summer all below their respective long-term averages.   A very wet season

. On a regional scale, Europe, North America, Asia and Australasia have very likely (over 90% probability) observed an increase in heat extremes and decrease in cold extremes. Europe, Asia and Australia have also likely (over 66% probability) observed an increase in heatwaves. Due to less data

Seasonal to decadal forecasts Although climate is expected to warm over the coming century in response to increasing levels of greenhouse gases, regional changes over the coming seasons to a decade or more are likely to be dominated by unforced natural variability of the climate system. Some

to be wetter than normal. Many parts of western and the west of southern Africa are likely to experience dry conditions, with parts of Cameroon and Gabon much more likely to be drier than normal. Looking further ahead to September onwards, a drier than normal Short Rains season is likely across East Africa

rainfall change; some evidence of a shift towards a decreasing frequency but increasing intensity of tropical cyclones; and understanding that El Nino events typically lead to drier conditions in the dry season and more extremes in the wet season. The scientists stated that such information

during the month (dry season). Additional Information: (1) Note: Wet or very wet in the west; normal in the east. (2) Note: Normal in eastern and central parts, but hot in the north, west and south (3) Note: Warm or hot in the southwest, normal in the northeast (4) Note: Warm or hot in the west, cool

of Sahel, especially Mali and Burkina Faso were wet or very wet. 3-Month Outlook August to October - Rainfall Outlook: In East Africa, the ‘Short Rains’ season will commence later in this period (the season nominally runs from October to December). Here, drier than normal conditions are more likely

76 Figure 5.11 Regional compound temperature and rainfall extremes 78 Figure 5.12a Persistent and whiplash hot and cold months and seasons 84 Figure 5.12b Persistent and whiplash wet and dry months and seasons 84 Figure 5.13 Years with record monthly and daily extremes a) High temperature extremes b

Northern Ireland has had its third hottest summer on record, and Scotland its fourth. The summer of 2021 has been a season of contrasting fortunes across the UK, with the north and west of the UK experiencing a warmer, drier and sunnier season compared to average while parts of the south east have