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• Microsoft Word - NEB_ll_2021

  1, is produced by combining output from the Met Office GloSea5 dynamical forecast system with statistical predictions based on pre-season sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the tropical Atlantic and Pacific. The methodology is described in Part 2. The GloSea5 contribution to this forecast for FMAM

• mo_bangladesh.pdf

  about contingency measures. At the same time it will help them develop definite strategies for dealing with the more likely outcome of flooding seasons. Providing this type of probabilistic climate information requires a good understanding of the drivers of Asian monsoon and how they will change

• mo_bangladeshpdf

  about contingency measures. At the same time it will help them develop definite strategies for dealing with the more likely outcome of flooding seasons. Providing this type of probabilistic climate information requires a good understanding of the drivers of Asian monsoon and how they will change

• Warmest Autumn on record for Northern Ireland

  with 31.3°C recorded at Castlederg during July. The near-record mean temperatures for Autumn were spurred on by a September that was the second warmest on record for the UK, followed by a warm and wet October that saw mean temperatures at 1.4°C above average. November also had above-average mean

• distillation_workshop_report.pdf

  to the surface the issues around communicating a ‘deterministic’ forecast. Many extension officers simply communicated that the season would be ‘wet’ and therefore the farmers should invest in crops. One particular group misunderstood the forecast, and farmers interpreted the 40% chance of ‘wet’ as being a 60

• distillation_workshop_reportpdf

  to the surface the issues around communicating a ‘deterministic’ forecast. Many extension officers simply communicated that the season would be ‘wet’ and therefore the farmers should invest in crops. One particular group misunderstood the forecast, and farmers interpreted the 40% chance of ‘wet’ as being a 60

• Microsoft Word - MetO_tropical_storm_forecast_verification_1Dec2015

  description of tropical storm activity for each basin can be found below. All statistics are calculated using observed data to 1 st December 2015. 2.1 North Atlantic The 2015 Atlantic hurricane season recorded 11 tropical storms (winds ≥ 39 mph), of which only 4 became hurricanes (winds ≥ 74 mph) and 2

• Cold with springtime wintry showers

  pressure passed over northern Scotland, bringing a spell of wet and windy weather. As this area of low pressure pulls away into the North Sea a push of cold arctic air will follow, leading to a marked change of weather for all parts with frosts becoming much more widespread overnight. Andy Page

• An autumnal week ahead

  of low pressure will move into the northwest of the UK. This means that many can expect a more notably wet and windy spell, for a time on Friday, than we’ve seen so far this autumn. However, this is nothing unusual for the time of year.” There is good confidence in the general trend for a cooler

• Microsoft Word - 2020_10_storm_aiden.docx

  Storm Aiden 31 October 2020 Storm Aiden 1 brought strong winds and heavy rain to the UK on 31 October 2020. The storm was part of a spell of turbulent, wet and very windy weather from late October to early November as a succession of deep Atlantic low pressure systems, associated with a powerful