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Decadal prediction

in natural climate forcings (volcanic and solar activity). Retrospective decadal predictions with DePreSys show improvements over uninitialised forecasts, including global average temperature and Atlantic hurricane frequency. Key aims To improve understanding of mechanisms of decadal variability

Met Office 10-Day Trend: High pressure dominating, but for how long?

, as we move into next week, the influence of tropical systems, particularly the remnants of Hurricane Erin, introduces increased uncertainty and the potential for a shift to more unsettled weather. High pressure brings a fine weekend As we head into the weekend, high pressure is firmly in control

metoffice_extremeweather_secondary_0519-amended-aug21.pdf

© Crown Copyright 2021, Met Office 01739 5 Exploring extreme weather | Extreme weather Extreme weather profile cards Hurricane Hurricanes are very large, rapidly rotating storms, with very strong winds and thunderstorms. Each year several make landfall and can cause considerable damage to property

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Lessons and legacy of the Great Storm of 1987

. To the west of the low, pressure rose rapidly leaving a big differential in pressure, which can be seen in the tightly drawn isobars of the chart below. A synoptic chart for the Great Storm of 1987 Was the storm a hurricane? Many people remember the words of BBC weather forecaster Michael Fish

International humanitarian support

crisis we also work closely with the UK government, providing weather and climate advice to support humanitarian response efforts. The 2017 hurricane season started with four major storms - Harvey, Irma, Jose and Maria – and our expertise was critical in supporting the UK government in their response

Met Office 10-day trend: Unsettled weather, Storm Amy, and a look ahead

Storm Amy’s arrival is closely linked to developments across the Atlantic. Hurricanes Humberto and Imelda on the other side of the Atlantic were interacting. Some of the energy from hurricane Humberto was transferring into Imelda, and as Humberto diminished, its remnants formed a new low-pressure

metoffice_extremeweather_deeperdiscovery_exploringextremeweatherevents.pdf

Extreme weather profile cards Hurricane Hurricanes are very large, rapidly rotating storms, with very strong winds and thunderstorms. Each year several make landfall and can cause considerable damage to property and loss of life. They are also known as typhoons or tropical cyclones. Find out more

Met Office deep dive: Autumn’s stormy spell and tropical influences

up this low, which was forecast to bring heavy rain to western Scotland. The combination of active weather fronts and orographic uplift (where moist air is forced up over hills and mountains) meant that rainfall totals were expected to build rapidly. READ MORE: Hurricanes, typhoons and tornadoes

150414 International Consultation FINAL

; and • A coherent set of tropical cyclone forecast pages are included as PWS outputs rather than just the Hurricane Seasonal Forecast. Summary of Recommendations No. Recommendation 1 The PWSCG maintain the current scope of the Global Site Forecast Service. 2 The PWSCG request the Met Office

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