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wave period. Improvement in forecast lead times In forecast lead time terms, our improved model achieves approximately a 2 day improvement in errors (i.e. our day 3 forecast now has same level of error as our old day 1 forecast). Reduction in large over-prediction errors during storms These changes

into Wales and parts of northern England through the day. The heaviest and most prolonged rain is expected in Wales, southwest England, and northern/northwest Scotland. In contrast, the southeast and central southern England may see brighter conditions by the afternoon, with sunny intervals likely through

, with the heaviest and most frequent showers likely in this region. In contrast, the southeast looks set to be more settled though some showers will move through during the day.  Winds will be picking up in strength over the bank holiday weekend 🌬️ In particular, be prepared for very gusty conditions

Thursday will begin on a bright and chilly note across much of the United Kingdom. Early sunshine will quickly give way to increasing cloud and strengthening winds from the west. Rain will develop through the day, initially affecting northern, western and central areas. The most persistent

will ease, and it will feel cooler than recent nights, particularly where skies clear. Outlook for Friday Friday will bring a drier and brighter day for many, especially across eastern and south-eastern areas, where sunshine is expected. A few showers are possible in western and north-western parts

Strong winds and heavy rain are forecast for many northern areas of the UK on Saturday, particularly for Scotland and northern England, where several weather warnings have been issued.  After a quieter day on Sunday, further weather warnings have been issued for Monday, as another Atlantic low

conditions. Figure 5. Valley or radiation fog (© J. Corey). Coastal regions The coastal climate is influenced by both the land and sea between which the coast forms a boundary. The thermal properties of water are such that the sea maintains a relatively constant day to day temperature compared

in the suspension of rail services between Plymouth and Exeter. By the 26th, there was a strong signal for another tight low pressure centre to track north from the Celtic Sea into Ireland the next day. The system was named Storm Chandra and resulted in amber rain/wind warnings issued for southwest England

of UK area-average daily maximum and daily minimum temperature and daily rainfall for each day of September 2024. The areas shaded in grey show the highest and lowest values in the daily temperature series (from 1960) and daily rainfall series (from 1891) together with percentiles and the 1991-2020

Sunshine (hours) 1961- 1990 1991- 2020 2015- 2024 2024 119.2 127.5 130.0 122.7 Daily time-series These charts show time-series of UK area-average daily maximum and daily minimum temperature and daily rainfall for each day of September 2024. The areas shaded in grey show the highest and lowest