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benni-buchenau-mike-bell-john-edwards--to-what-extent-can-bjerknes-compensation-explain-a-weak-amoc-in-gc5-lfric.pdf
. Figure 4 shows that in atmosphere-only experiments, the LFRic atmosphere is implied to transport about 10% more heat away from the tropical maritime continent than the UM. The total increase in atmospheric heat transport from the equator to the poles implied by the Atmosphere-only part of Figure 4
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postcode-sector-data-parameters-and-locations.pdf
- - - Total cloud amount oktas Hourly to T+360 - - - Visibility m Hourly to T+360 Three-hourly to T+360 - Local Midday / Midnight to Day 15 Lightning risk % Hourly to T+360 - - - Probabilistics Probability of Precipitation % Hourly to T+360 Three-hourly to T+360 - Daytime / Nighttime to Day 15
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Week ahead forecast: Multiple warnings in place as Storm Bram arrives
to the day on Tuesday ⚠️ Heavy spells of rain will spread northwards through the morning, with the strongest winds expected along western coasts 🌧️🌬️ pic.twitter.com/KV3Pguyxyv — Met Office (@metoffice) December 8, 2025 Rainfall accumulations and flood risk Rainfall totals are expected
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Dry February so far for most
, a dry February has led to some speculation about weather trends in recent weeks. Month so far Up to 20 February, you’d expect to have around 71% of the month’s total average rainfall. However, the UK has currently had just 36% (34.5mm) so far, according to provisional Met Office figures. High
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Met Office weekend weather: Thunderstorms and downpours dominate the forecast
thunderstorms due to the high proportion of impermeable surfaces. Within this area, 20-40mm of rain could fall in an hour, with up to 70-100mm accumulating in just a few hours. If these higher totals fall over urban areas, there could be notable impacts. Breakdown for Saturday Saturday will bring a mixed
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reinhard-k.-h.-schiemann-grenville-lister-rosalyn-hatcher-dan-hodson-bryan-lawrence-len-shaffrey-andrea-dittus-jon-robson-ben-harvey-kevin-hodges-oscar-martinez-alvarado-steve-woolnough-andrew-turner.pdf
range. The SSWs are identified based on the methodology of Charlton and Polvani (2007). In total, 49 SSWs in ERA5 (1959-2023) while 2329 SSWs in LE. b) and c) Composite evolution of SSW signal in the NAM for the 60 days before and after the SSW starting date (lag = 0) and over the height range of 1
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How the Met Office makes a difference
the risk of severe space weather events. Every year impacts from severe weather cost the UK millions of pounds. It is estimated that insurance losses from Storm Eunice in February 2022 alone totalled £200-350 million. The human cost is often more significant – the same storm is reported to have
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postcode-sector-data-parameters-and-locationspdf
- - - Total cloud amount oktas Hourly to T+360 - - - Visibility m Hourly to T+360 Three-hourly to T+360 - Local Midday / Midnight to Day 15 Lightning risk % Hourly to T+360 - - - Probabilistics Probability of Precipitation % Hourly to T+360 Three-hourly to T+360 - Daytime / Nighttime to Day 15
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July 2022: a dry run for UK’s future climate?
of this is that the winter, spring and summer of 2022 have all seen less than the UK average seasonal rainfall. “England has seen the lowest levels during these periods and, rainfall totals for the first six months of the year are around 25% below their long-term average, with the driest regions in the east
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Week ahead: Unsettled weather returns as summer draws to a close
temperatures and a growing risk of heavy rain and thunderstorms. While the details remain uncertain, current forecasts suggest the highest rainfall totals are most likely across parts of England, Wales and Northern Ireland, while north-west Scotland is expected to remain the driest part of the UK throughout