The week begins with a noticeable drop in temperatures as high pressure settles in from the west, ushering in a brisk northerly wind.
While it won’t be as cold as the previous week, the contrast with the milder weekend will be clear, especially with the return of overnight frosts. Early risers in rural areas may wake to frosty mornings, and the chill will be felt most keenly where the northerly breeze is strongest.
Showers are likely to affect parts of Wales, southwest England, and the eastern coasts of England and Scotland. However, much of the country will enjoy dry and bright conditions to start the week. Tuesday stands out as the sunniest day, though temperatures will remain subdued, most places can expect highs of 6 or 7°C, with slightly warmer conditions further south. The wind will make it feel colder, especially in exposed locations.
Midweek: Frost, sunshine, and a change in the air
As the week progresses, the weather pattern begins to shift. By Wednesday, the jet stream becomes more active, allowing weather systems to move in from the Atlantic. Before this change arrives, another cold start is expected, with widespread frost likely, particularly in rural Scotland and Wales, where temperatures could dip as low as -6 or -7°C.
Despite the cold, Wednesday offers more sunshine, especially for eastern areas, which will enjoy the longest spells of brightness. In contrast, cloud will gradually build in the west, especially across Wales and the Midlands during the afternoon. Scotland and Northern Ireland will see a band of rain arriving, though it is not expected to be particularly heavy. This rain will bring increased cloud cover, and behind it, milder air will begin to spread in, lifting temperatures to around 10 or 11°C in western parts of Northern Ireland and Scotland. Areas ahead of the rain will remain cooler, but the southeast should stay largely dry through the day.
Albeit not as cold as recently, it's still a chilly start to the week and Tuesday night will be widely frosty ❄️
— Met Office (@metoffice) November 24, 2025
Much milder conditions return by Thursday with temperatures climbing into the low teens Celsius in places 📈 pic.twitter.com/N3dDN4d4D7
Thursday: Milder but cloudier
A significant change arrives on Thursday as the UK moves into what meteorologists call the “warm sector.” This transition will be felt in the morning, with some areas experiencing a temperature jump of up to 10°C compared to the previous day. However, this warmth comes at a cost, sunshine will be in short supply, replaced by thick cloud and outbreaks of drizzly rain.
The rain will be most persistent in western areas, while the east will see occasional damp spells but not much in the way of significant rainfall. Winds will strengthen, particularly along the western coast of Scotland, where gusts could reach gale force by the evening. Elsewhere, it will become breezy, especially near the coasts, and temperatures could climb to 13 or 14°C in some southern and western spots.
Friday: unsettled with rain and wind
Friday’s forecast is dominated by a cold front pushing across the country. There is some uncertainty about how quickly this front will clear the southeast, as small waves along the front could affect the timing and intensity of rainfall. As a result, much of the south and east can expect a damp day, with the potential for heavier rain than earlier in the week.
Another weather front is expected to follow, bringing further uncertainty about where the most intense rainfall will occur. However, it is likely that another spell of wet weather will move in from the northwest, making Friday a more unsettled day overall. Temperatures will remain on the mild side, with highs of 10 or 11°C, possibly reaching 12°C in places. However, strong winds, especially in the northwest of Scotland and along the south coast, will make it feel cooler than the thermometer suggests. Gale force gusts are possible in exposed areas.
READ MORE: How does the Met Office forecast snow?
The weekend: Low-pressure brings uncertainty
Looking ahead to the weekend, the weather remains unsettled. Temperatures are likely to dip again, but there is considerable uncertainty in the forecast. An area of low pressure is expected to develop in the Atlantic and move towards the UK, but computer models differ on its exact track and intensity.
The Met Office model suggests the low will move south of the UK before pushing into the southeast, while the European ECMWF model favours a more central path across the country. Regardless of the precise details, there is a risk of more persistent and wet weather, particularly for southern and southeastern areas, from Friday into Saturday and possibly lasting through the weekend.
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