Met Office week ahead: Mild, murky, and unsettled weather dominating

Author: Press Office

As we look ahead to the coming week, the UK is set to experience a spell of mild, murky, and wet weather.

The dominant feature driving our conditions will be a succession of Atlantic low pressure systems, bringing with them persistent rain, strong winds, and above-average temperatures for the time of year. Here’s what to expect day by day.

Tuesday: Wet and windy, especially in the west

Tuesday starts with a strong southwesterly wind, bringing coastal gales to exposed western coasts and a very mild feel due to the wind direction. Many places will see temperatures beginning the day in the teens, but the wet weather in the west will make it feel less pleasant. The heaviest rain is expected in parts of Cumbria, where a yellow warning is in force and there is a risk of localised flooding. Parts of Wales will also see significant rainfall.

As the day progresses, the focus of the wet weather shifts to southwestern parts of the country. The hills of Dartmoor, Exmoor, and the Brecon Beacons could see 50mm of rain or more. Further east and north, the rain will be more sporadic and showery, with some glimmers of sunshine possible for parts of Northern Ireland and Northern Scotland. Temperatures will remain above average, with highs of 15 to 16°C in the south and around 13°C further north.

Wednesday: Showers and brighter spells

Showery rain will start things off on Wednesday across many parts of England and Wales. Scotland and Northern Ireland will see a brighter, mostly dry start, with particularly sunny conditions for Northern Scotland. However, the south and southwest will once again see the wettest weather first thing, with rain tending to shift further north as the day progresses. 

There is some uncertainty about exactly where the rain will fall, as the situation is quite erratic, with outbreaks of showery rain migrating north through the day. Northern and western parts of the UK are likely to see the wettest weather, but there will be decent gaps in the rainfall, with many areas staying cloudy and mild. Even at 10 pm, temperatures could be as high as 15°C in the south and 11 or 12°C further north. While it will be damp in places, it will not be a washout everywhere, with some drier interludes, especially towards the southeast.

Thursday: Drier for some, but showers return

Thursday sees outbreaks of rain clearing the north of Scotland first thing, and for many, it will be a drier day, though not completely without rainfall. Showery outbreaks of rain will return, particularly across western parts of the country, with some heavy downpours possible. In between, there will be brighter spells developing. Once again, it will be a mild afternoon, with highs of 16 or 17°C in the south and 14 or 15°C further north. It will also become increasingly breezy towards the west.

Friday and the weekend: Unsettled but some drier spells

As we say goodbye to one area of low pressure on Thursday, another arrives from the west, bringing an active weather front and heavy rain crossing the country from west to east throughout Friday. By this stage, the wind direction shifts from southwesterly to westerly, meaning these fronts will move across a little quicker, with more significant gaps between systems. Later in the week, spells of rain will not be as long-lasting or persistent, offering a better chance of drier interludes.

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Friday will start with bright skies in the east, but a front will move eastwards through the day, bringing wet weather to central southern England and the Midlands by the afternoon, before brighter skies return to the west. Showery rain will move through Scotland and Northern Ireland, with temperatures a little less mild at 14 or 15°C.

The weekend brings a ridge of high pressure ahead of the next weather front. Saturday looks likely to be the best day, with drier and brighter conditions for many, and most places enjoying a fine day before another low arrives on Sunday, bringing more rain and wind.

Keep up to date with weather warnings, and you can find the latest forecast on our website, on YouTube, by following us on X and Facebook, as well as on our mobile app which is available for iPhone from the App store and for Android from the Google Play store.

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