This week, the UK’s weather is set to be dominated by a series of low-pressure systems, bringing unsettled conditions, strong winds, and periods of heavy rain.
The forecast, based on the latest expert analysis, highlights a dynamic and changeable pattern, with some uncertainty around the exact track of the most impactful weather systems.
Tuesday: Bright spells, showers, and breezy conditions
Tuesday starts with some bright skies, particularly across central and eastern areas of England. Mist and fog may linger in these regions during the morning, but cloud and showers are expected, especially in western areas. By the afternoon, showers will become more widespread, popping up across eastern areas as well.
Central, eastern, and southeastern England may see brighter intervals between the showers, but the risk of rain remains. Breezy conditions are likely, especially across northern Scotland and southern counties. Temperatures will be similar to recent days, with highs around 16°C in central and southern areas, a degree or two lower elsewhere. The strong northerly flow across northwest Scotland will make it feel particularly cool.
As evening approaches, low pressure continues to swirl to the north, maintaining a westerly feed of air. Showers and cloud will push in from the west, keeping conditions unsettled overnight.
Wednesday: Mostly dry start, but rain and wind building
Wednesday should begin mostly dry and bright, with mist and fog possible again in eastern England. This will lift and break, leaving most areas dry for much of the day. However, showers will persist in western regions, bringing more cloud and the potential for longer spells of rain, especially in the far west of Cornwall. Northern Scotland will remain breezy.
⚠️ Yellow weather warning issued ⚠️
— Met Office (@metoffice) October 21, 2025
Strong winds across southern and eastern England
Thursday 0900 - 2359
Latest info 👉 https://t.co/QwDLMfS950
Stay #WeatherAware⚠️ pic.twitter.com/VLpfCkI4KK
Temperatures will be similar to Tuesday, with highs around 16°C in central and southern parts, and mid to low teens in Scotland. The brisk breeze will continue to make it feel cooler, particularly in exposed areas.
Late Wednesday into Thursday: Unsettled, with strong winds and heavy rain
The most significant weather event of the week arrives later on Wednesday and into Thursday. An area of low pressure will push into the southwest, moving across southern England before heading into the North Sea. This system is expected to bring heavy rain and strong, gusty winds, with coastal gales possible, especially in southern and eastern areas.
There is some uncertainty about the exact track of this low pressure. The most likely scenario is for it to skirt across the south and settle off the east coast of East Anglia. In this case, southern and eastern regions will bear the brunt, with the risk of severe gales and heavy rain. Thundery downpours are possible, and strong winds will affect the western side of the low.
If the low tracks further north, impacts could be more widespread, with strong winds and heavy rain affecting much of the UK, including Scotland and northeast England. Severe gales could reach eastern England, and more prolonged rainfall could occur across a larger area.
Thursday: Rain clears, but showers and wind persist
As Thursday progresses, the area of rain will clear eastwards into the North Sea, turning conditions brighter for most. However, showers will continue, particularly in western areas, and some could be heavy and thundery. Winds will remain strong, especially around eastern coasts, with the risk of coastal gales persisting.
Three yellow warnings for wind and rain have been issued across parts of England and Wales between 9am and 11:59pm. Heavy rain and winds could bring disruption to parts of southern and eastern England and strong northwesterly winds could cause some disruption across eastern Wales.
READ MORE: What are October's current weather records?
Temperatures will dip slightly, with highs around 13–14°C in the south. The brisk northerly wind will make it feel much chillier, especially in exposed locations.
Friday: Chilly, breezy, and cloudy
By Friday, the low pressure will continue to swirl in the North Sea, while high pressure builds in the Atlantic. This will reinforce the northerly flow, bringing colder air across the UK. The day will be breezy and cloudy, reducing the risk of frost but making it feel distinctly chilly.
Longer spells of rain may persist around eastern coasts, depending on the position of the low. For much of England and Wales, expect a mix of cloud, brighter spells, and occasional showers. Northern Ireland, northwest England, and Scotland will see a cloudy day with a risk of showers and continued breeziness. Highs will reach around 14°C in the south, but the northerly flow will keep things feeling colder, especially near eastern coasts.
Weekend: Northerly winds and wintry showers
Heading into the weekend, the weather pattern remains dominated by low pressure to the east and high pressure to the west. This setup will maintain brisk northerly winds, with tightly packed isobars indicating continued blustery conditions. The colder air mass will make it feel much chillier, and there is even the possibility of wintry showers across higher ground in Scotland as the half-term break begins for many.
This week’s weather is shaped by a succession of low-pressure systems, bringing unsettled conditions, strong winds, and periods of heavy rain. The most impactful weather is expected late Wednesday into Thursday, with the potential for severe gales and heavy rain, especially in southern and eastern England. Temperatures will gradually fall as colder air arrives, and the weekend could bring wintry showers to northern areas.
Keep up to date with weather warnings, and you can find the latest forecast on our website, on YouTube, by following us on X and Facebook, as well as on our mobile app which is available for iPhone from the App store and for Android from the Google Play store.
