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(November-January). However, other centres (such as BoM) have predictions which are much more finely balanced between ENSO-neutral and La Niña. Clearly, there is some uncertainty with predictions. Most likely is that ENSOneutral conditions will persist for the next couple of months, with any transition
international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Africa: November to August Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – Whilst oceanic indicators, including sea surface temperatures
Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) stating that: “There is a ~60% chance of a transition from La Niña to ENSO-Neutral during the Northern Hemisphere spring 2021 (April-June).” Despite this trend La Niña will continue to be a dominant driver of rainfall patterns, especially in the tropics
thickening as the day progresses, accompanied by stronger winds and patchy rain. Temperatures will reach the seasonal average following a chilly start, with local highs of 18-20°C in the south, making it feel pleasantly warm in the sunshine and light winds for many. Many of us will open the curtains
. Western areas and parts of northern England will be cloudier, with the potential for light rain or drizzle, particularly near coasts and on hills. It will be another warm and muggy night across England and Wales, although temperatures may dip slightly compared to the previous night. Further north
Starting off on Tuesday morning, the Northern Isles will see cloud and light rain or drizzle by day, with some scattered showers in Caithness in the afternoon. Elsewhere we'll see dry and sunny conditions, with much warmer temperatures. Inland areas will see temperatures mostly between 22-24°C
. Western areas and parts of northern England will be cloudier, with the potential for light rain or drizzle, particularly near coasts and on hills. It will be another warm and muggy night across England and Wales, although temperatures may dip slightly compared to the previous night. Further north
thickening as the day progresses, accompanied by stronger winds and patchy rain. Temperatures will reach maxima around the seasonal average following a chilly start, with local highs of 18-20°C in the south, making it feel pleasantly warm in the sunshine and light winds for many. Many of us will open
Although a scattering of showers may develop in the west this afternoon, many will enjoy a pleasant day on Thursday with light winds and sunshine. Bright and mild for many this afternoon but a few showers are possible in western areas, these locally heavy in the north 🌤️ Feeling pleasant
, though large amounts of cloud are expected, with only a few light showers and the best chance of sunny spells reserved for eastern areas. Two yellow weather warnings have been issued. The first is for rain in eastern Northern Ireland between 7am and 7pm on Saturday. The second is for rain in western
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