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• wiser0106_sahel-forecasting-applications-report.pdf

  available ahead of the 2019 rainy season. 2) Risk of extreme years within the 2-5 year period. A small amount of additional diagnostic work could provide supporting diagnostic information on the risk of very dry / very wet years within a 2-5 year period, based on the predicted 2-5 year tercile

• Relative lack of Spring rainfall triggers water scarcity alert

  back to winter; a season traditionally regarded as a recharge period for the UK’s water supplies. UK rainfall over winter was down compared with average, with only 83% of average rainfall being recorded for the UK. This relative shortfall in a key period fuelled hopes for more rain to come for spring

• May Bank Holiday weather extremes

  1 May 2026 The May Bank Holiday often hints at the transition from spring towards summer, but the long-term weather records show that variety is the defining feature. Warm sunshine, heavy rain, strong winds and even late-season snow have all occurred during this period. Looking at the records helps

• Easter weather extremes: the records behind a famously changeable weekend

  , particularly in exposed north‑western areas. While there remains some uncertainty in the finer detail, the overall signal points towards a wet and windy Easter weekend, a reminder that this time of year can deliver a wide range of weather. The Easter weather station record book shows just how

• ex-hurricane-ophelia-16-october-2017---met-office.pdf

  ) was the second storm of the 2017-2018 winter season, following Storm Aileen on 12 to 13 September. The strongest winds were around Irish Sea coasts, particularly west Wales, with gusts of 60 to 70 Kt or higher in exposed coastal locations. Impacts The most severe impacts were across the Republic of Ireland

• Met Office Deep Dive: Winter arrives early

  to be dominated by a mix of high- and low-pressure systems, with frosty nights during ridges of high pressure and milder conditions when weather systems move through. The trend is for occasional spells of rain, temperatures closer to average, and a mixture of dry and wet days. Looking ahead: Sudden

• Met Office deep dive: A gusty Bonfire Night and a typhoon heading towards Vietnam

  and creating waving effects on the lee side. For those planning to head out for bonfire celebrations, the timing and location will be key. A band of rain is expected to move across parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland during the evening, making for a wet start in those areas. However, much of England

• Met Office 10-day trend: A tale of two halves for September

  for September Author: Press Office Thu 25 Sep 2025 September has been a month of contrasts across the UK, with the weather delivering a tale of two halves. The start of the month was unsettled, bringing plenty of wet weather and changeable conditions. However, as we moved further into September, the pattern

• ukcp18-fact-sheet-derived-projections.pdf

  general trends of climate changes in the 21 st century are similar to UKCP09, with a move towards warmer, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers. However, natural variations mean that some cold winters, some dry winters, some cool summers and some wet summers will still occur. • At 2°C of global mean

• Met Office Deep Dive: Heatwaves, thunderstorms and satellite launches

  into an extratropical system as it approached the UK. While not expected to bring hazardous weather, Dexter has played a role in shaping our current conditions. Initially forecast to pass northwest of the UK, Dexter’s influence was expected to be limited to a spell of wet weather. However, by midweek, the story