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- Temperature Outlook: 3-Month Outlook May to July - Temperature ENSO is now neutral and will have minimal influence on global temperatures through this period. Consistent with a warming climate, nearly all land areas are likely or very likely to experience warmer than normal conditions through the next three

with associated fronts sweeping north-east across the UK. The analysis chart at 0000 UTC 28 December 2023 shows the centre of storm Gerrit having tracked north-east to near Shetland (972hPa). However, the influence of this same area of low pressure still dominates the UK’s weather with another deep low centre

identify the risks in our supply chain and combat and eliminate any form of modern slavery or abuse of human rights we might encounter. 4. We fully support the government’s objectives to eradicate modern slavery and human trafficking. 5. We call upon all organisations we engage with to influence

Normal Very Likely Likely Likely Very Likely Climate Outlook Africa: December to September Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: 3-Month Outlook April to June - Rainfall Whilst La Niña conditions are predicted to decline, La Niña will still have an influence on rainfall patterns through some

are consistent in suggesting a positive IOD will develop over the next couple of months. Should this occur, this would help reinforce the influence of El Niño over southeast Asia, Africa and Australia. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook

Report Understanding and quantifying extreme precipitation events in South Asia Part I – Understanding climate drivers through case studies CARISSA Activity 4: Climate services for the water and hydropower sectors in South Asia December 2020 Katy Richardson Reviewed by Joseph Daron Flooding

Underpinning science The climate system consists of four basic elements - atmosphere, ocean, land and cryosphere (land ice and sea ice). Each has its own physical characteristics in terms of thermal capacity, energy balance and hydrological balance. Most importantly, the atmosphere and oceans

effects. A suspension of airborne solid or liquid particles, with a typical size between a few nanometres and 10 μm that reside in the atmosphere for at least several hours. Aerosols may be of either natural or anthropogenic origin. Aerosols may influence climate in several ways: through both

Met Office Global and Regional Ensemble Prediction System – Global (MOGREPS-G) DESCRIPTION The flagship Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) model developed and used at the Met Office, is the Unified Model, the same model is used for both weather and climate prediction. For weather forecasting

PRECIS Related Publications AKHTAR, M., AHMAD, N. & BOOIJ, M. J. 2008. The impact of climate change on the water resources of Hindukush-Karakorum-Himalaya region under different glacier coverage scenarios. Journal of Hydrology, 355, 148-163. AKHTAR, M., AHMAD, N. & BOOIJ, M. J. 2009. Use