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likelihood of drier than normal conditions in East Africa during the Short Rains (October to December) and wetter than normal conditions in Southern Africa (November to April). For the next three months, drier than normal conditions are most probable across much of Western Africa, including the Gulf

- Rainfall Current Status: Most of East Africa has been wetter than normal. Rainfall has been normal over much of Southern Africa, except for Angola, Zambia, Malawi, northern Mozambique and southern Tanzania where it has been much wetter than normal. Conversely southern Mozambique has been drier than

and hot in the east during November. In Southern Africa Madagascar was cold during November whilst Malawi and Madagascar were hot. Outlook: Over the next three months, many parts of the continent are likely to be warmer than normal, apart from southern Africa where climatological odds are present. 3

seasons typically start. Outlook: Consistent with previous outlooks, drier than normal conditions are most likely across much of East Africa for the remainder of the short rains season through November and December. This is now the fifth consecutive poor or failed rainy season, further exacerbating

in September. Ahead of the Short Rains season in October-December, most parts of East Africa had near-normal rainfall or were dry in August and September. In October, Kenya, Ethiopia and Somalia were wet or very wet. Rainfall was mostly near-normal in Southern Africa August and September. In October

and April. Conversely, parts of eastern Africa, and areas near the Gulf of Guinea coast were wetter than normal in March. However, during April these regions either had near-normal rainfall or were drier than normal. Outlook: It is likely to be drier than normal across large parts of the East Africa

2020 - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very Likely Likely Likely Very Likely Climate Outlook Africa: March to December Overview 3 Africa Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: Most of East Africa has been wetter than normal. Rainfall has been normal over much

2020 WISER knowledge reference number WISER0215 Co-production booklet - English - April 2020 WISER knowledge reference number WISER0214 Residents of East Africa's informal settlements can now access better climate information - February 2020 WISER knowledge reference number WISER0207 Stakeholder

Africa Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: The West African monsoon has brought wet or very wet conditions to much of the Sahel between July and September. Areas further south over West Africa have seen normal or dry conditions. Conditions were more mixed across East Africa in what

were displaced in Mozambique’s last rainy season. In early 2023, Tropical Cyclone Freddy became the longest-lived tropical cyclone on record and is thought to have killed more than 600 people in Malawi, Mozambique and Madagascar (East Africa). Meteorological Technology International took an in-depth