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  • eastern-scotland_-climate-met-office.pdf

    depressions pass the UK the wind typically starts to blow from the south or south west, but later comes from the west or north-west as the depression moves away. The range of directions between south and north-west accounts for the majority of occasions and the strongest winds nearly always blow from

  • Food Insecurity & Climate Change – Met Office

    , reductions in snow and ice and rising sea levels, and humans are responsible for at least half of the observed changes (IPCC, 2013). Climate model projections show further changes to the climate system in years to come; these changes will depend on future concentrations of greenhouse gases

  • Met Office 10-day trend: Wet and windy into Autumn

    : Press Office Thu 28 Aug 2025 As summer comes to an end, the UK is already experiencing a distinctly autumnal feel. The latest Met Office 10-Day Trend points to a period dominated by unsettled conditions, with low pressure systems bringing spells of rain, showers, and blustery winds. While

  • Making sense of climate change projections

    ) in the communication of climate change. Figure 2. Global mean surface temperature change for warming of 1.5 °C, 2 °C and 4 °C above the 1850-1900 baseline period. Figure modified from Figure SPM.5A from the IPCC 6th Assessment Report WGI Summary for Policy Makers. The GWLs come without a timeframe

  • Smarter forecasts, safer seas: Met Office advances maritime forecast accuracy

    that 30% of marine accidents are caused by poor weather conditions, making accurate forecasting a critical factor when it comes to making decisions at sea.  Significant improvements over 10 years  New analysis shows that the Met Office’s Shipping Forecast accuracy has steadily improved over the past

  • Met Office 10-day trend: A tale of two halves for September

    , it can still influence our weather, as we have seen in the past. Uncertainties for the weekend There are some uncertainties about what will happen through the weekend. The front highlighted earlier is expected to come closer and push in as we go through Saturday. The raw Met Office model indicates

  • wales_-climate-met-officepdf

    knots at Rhoose (Vale of Glamorgan) on 28 October 1989. Wind direction is defined as the direction from which the wind is blowing. As Atlantic depressions pass the UK the wind typically starts to blow from the south or south west, but later comes from the west or north-west as the depression moves

  • Deep Dive: Will the cold weather return?

    or snow depth. Instead, warnings are issued based on impacts, and how likely those impacts are to occur. This is where the Met Office warnings matrix comes in. The matrix maps impacts (from very low to high) against likelihood (also from very low to high). Where an event sits on this chart

  • Deep Dive: extreme rainfall, spring frost and a dry April

    Holiday weather extremes Turning attention to the weekend As the weekend approaches, forecast attention turns southwards. There are indications that warmer air could begin to move north from lower latitudes. With this change comes the potential for more widespread and heavier rainfall, possibly

  • Storm Amy on the way, but how unusual is it?

    to northern and western parts of the UK, with the greatest impacts expected from Friday afternoon into Saturday. Weather warnings and expected impacts The Met Office has issued an Amber warning for wind for northern and western parts of Scotland, which comes into force from 5pm on Friday

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